TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,288,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,312,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,288,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7b3…92f8backed Pacers62c483,665$299,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,792.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks4c315,441$12,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,510.3846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks0c293,165$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.314434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Pacers61c210,000$128,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,899.8314052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb75…0252backed Knicks39c198,406$77,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,165.3728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d23…aa99backed Knicks38c167,657$63,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,709.622147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Knicks38c145,517$55,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,296.6328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Knicks39c100,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers62c92,117$57,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,831.7428341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks38c90,000$34,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,20047848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks38c86,260$32,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,492.3796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Knicks3c63,708$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.978036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Knicks39c58,426$22,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,9117445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Knicks39c53,724$20,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,881.319149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pacers62c48,387$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,387.16873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Pacers70c43,062$30,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,918.714551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Knicks33c42,472$13,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,871.8422458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Pacers61c34,710$21,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,536.752138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers74c34,580$25,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,127.4722457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks38c33,915$12,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,887.723135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Pacers63c31,365$19,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,605.121526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Knicks1c30,500$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.85190%0 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks20c26,894$5,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,327.447929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Knicks39c25,612$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.0224831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x281d…0c73backed Knicks21c24,734$5,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.392412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks39c21,401$8,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,346.3947751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Knicks38c20,109$7,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,729.14252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks25c20,000$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.951,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks3c20,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…2f22backed Knicks0c19,161$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.48944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Knicks31c18,951$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815.081,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers61c16,686$10,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,574.561,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…5e04backed Knicks22c16,319$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers75c14,984$11,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.448259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Knicks1c14,057$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.575121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Knicks37c14,050$5,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,170.57335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…98cfbacked Knicks38c14,034$5,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3339…48a5backed Knicks38c14,000$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8130…5a82backed Pacers64c14,000$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0402100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Knicks15c13,882$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.5427917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Knicks39c12,821$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks38c12,442$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.9861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks4c12,356$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7916537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers68c12,007$8,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.0776850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Knicks6c12,000$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.82714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers63c11,801$7,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,394.0813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks37c11,778$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,344.5937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Knicks17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7005369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Knicks39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks28c8,393$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.772,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Pacers62c8,231$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.667829.5%23 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…e030backed Knicks39c8,004$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Knicks39c7,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Knicks39c7,600$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.1223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef57…90c1backed Knicks34c7,500$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Knicks27c6,814$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.391978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Knicks37c6,368$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.827038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pacers63c6,147$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.1318146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers70c6,104$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.5929957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Pacers62c5,512$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.531788.2%15 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+51.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Knicks39c5,396$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.256339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Knicks17c5,111$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.5934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers65c5,049$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.1928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…4cb2backed Knicks26c5,000$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.571241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7274…5d7abacked Knicks39c4,872$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers62c4,823$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.5813636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers63c4,623$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.6936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e55…afe9backed Pacers68c4,500$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4502100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pacers64c4,468$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks38c4,278$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.6424554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Knicks8c4,167$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.53935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4455…98e5backed Pacers62c4,106$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.16953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks34c3,931$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.095,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Knicks3c3,821$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268714.9%13 W · 74 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Pacers63c3,813$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.818350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd313…a320backed Knicks39c3,718$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Knicks40c3,703$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.2210541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Pacers62c3,468$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.7412649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Knicks30c3,286$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Knicks3c3,270$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.45942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Knicks16c3,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Pacers62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1402245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+48.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Knicks0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Knicks38c2,891$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.4526431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Knicks24c2,844$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.73444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe142…86d5backed Knicks34c2,666$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks3c2,635$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.898783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Knicks17c2,605$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.361250%6 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+191.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks0c2,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Pacers61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9757051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers67c2,464$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ca…f4c7backed Pacers62c2,421$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9879…105abacked Knicks39c2,400$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d77…abd5backed Pacers62c2,389$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Pacers72c2,321$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.897561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Pacers77c2,242$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2417454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Knicks38c2,233$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5412540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.