NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde05dc981181fc1ec4af88204bf059cff8d2f216cdfd6bc8b243807ea9fabe0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Over | 10c | 666$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Over | 15c | 415.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Under | 48c | 298.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Over | 58c | 285.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Over | 54c | 92.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…15b9backed Under | 57c | 89.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Over | 43c | 89.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 224.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. PacersPacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.