NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d71dd6b6def79dfb3eb9231f6c9cc65ec6b965accd7bf6484ebcfe4f7e20fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 4,528$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.96 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 46c | 2,774$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.98 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 44c | 2,243$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Over | 54c | 2,060$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.46 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Under | 51c | 1,977$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.27 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Over | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 44c | 1,843$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.03 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Over | 62c | 1,007$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 2c | 613$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 54c | 558.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Under | 47c | 499.83$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Over | 54c | 267.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Under | 46c | 240.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Under | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 121.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Over | 57c | 120.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Under | 47c | 99.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1b2bbacked Over | 53c | 93.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…927dbacked Over | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…28ebbacked Over | 53c | 62.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Under | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 219.5this page
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 214.5Over won
- Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. PacersPacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.