TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9304…f693

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
612
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: CS2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT8530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$169.86
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+207.4%+$175.4
Will the Oakland Athletics win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.64
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.28
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.68
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.11
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.45
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.58
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$14.48
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.5
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.14
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.62
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.4
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.25
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.55
Royals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.38
Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.17
White Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+149.6%+$213.08
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$548.24
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.37
Royals vs. Rangersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+130.2%+$353.02
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$13.2
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST8020%16 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.18
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$104.79
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.89
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.08
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.18
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.67
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$30.38
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.47
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+119.9%+$56.07
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$192.46
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.49
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+500.6%+$832.82
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+144.8%+$557.35
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.34
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.26
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+537.3%+$1,883.66
First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.15
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$59.75
Trump approval >45% on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.77
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.61
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT6116.4%10 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 84-85°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 86°F or higher on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will the highest temperature in London be between 82-83°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+184.2%+$112.26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.11
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 105°F or higher on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or below on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+294.2%+$71.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.87
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or below on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+1,717.9%+$175.44
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyrese Haliburton record the most total assists in the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.58
NBA Finals G7: Will Siakam score 22+ points against the Thunder? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$70
NBA Finals G7: Will SGA score 33+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$310.41
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+181.5%+$224.57
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+119.2%+$295.87
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.48
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.7
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$558.53
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.44
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+105.9%+$314.2
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.44
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.34
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$379.37
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.73
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$122.27
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.63
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.4
NBA Finals G4: Will SGA score 34+ points against the Pacers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+143.6%+$32.63
NBA Finals G1: Thunder win and SGA scores 34+ points? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$94.67
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+394.5%+$151.98
Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.03
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.39
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+129.1%+$121.07
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.67
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.83
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.09
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$311.1
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26.63
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.13
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.66
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.9
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.59
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.87
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.64
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.35
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.74
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.94
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.23
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+383.2%+$3,368.32
Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.38
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+216.3%+$1,820.16
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+158%+$441.49
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$802.49
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.94
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.62
Will Juventus vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$11.18
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.57
Will Atlético Madrid win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.12
Will Seattle Sounders beat PSG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$458.65
Will Manchester City beat Al Ain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.75
Will Al Ain beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.28
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.42
Will Al Hilal beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.82
River Plate vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$62.38
Fluminense vs. Ulsan: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.97
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.84
Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$329.81
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$92.96
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.29
Seattle Sounders vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.71
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.16
Will Palmeiras vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$57.51
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.31
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.17
Will Seattle Sounders beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.11
Palmeiras vs. FC Porto: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$49.94
Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City: 5+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.68
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT2817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Girl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15.38
Diddy guilty of all charges?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.23
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.34
Will Albania be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will Netherlands be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+594.4%+$739.22
Will Austria be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Estonia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.2
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.37
Will another country be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Italy be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will Ukraine be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.1
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$259
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.33
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.15
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$108.55
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.62
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.5
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+357.6%+$207.09
Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.01
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT229.1%2 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-79.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Michelsen vs. Holt backed Holt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.36
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Mensik vs. Opelka backed Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.76
Mallorca Championships: Moutet vs. Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.46
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.76
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.61
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.82
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Bublik backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.62
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$755.61
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$32.11
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+202.5%+$50.88
Terra Wortmann: Khachanov vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.49
Terra Wortmann: Machac vs. Bublikbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.32
Terra Wortmann: Cobolli vs. Zverevbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.51
HSBC Championships: Lehecka vs. Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.6
Terra Wortmann: Shapovalov vs. Cobollibacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.33
Terra Wortmann: Sinner vs. Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.02
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Fritzbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.66
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.22
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.05
French Open: Keys vs. Kenin backed Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.3
French Open: Badosa vs. Kasatkinabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.83
French Open: Khachanov vs. Paulbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.61
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+76.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+99.3%+$572.28
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+251.9%+$475.61
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$255.25
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+180%+$329.72
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. paiNbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.82
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.59
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. FaZebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.97
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Legacybacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+379.4%+$59.52
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+196%+$60.64
Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+454.5%+$316.49
Will TYLOO qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.84
Will Wildcard qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+145.3%+$41.44
Will Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.39
Will Lynn Vision qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$82.8
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Chinggis Warriors vs. Lynn Visionbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.68
Will Imperial qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will Complexity qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+134.3%+$145.61
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Complexity vs. TYLOObacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.9
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. FaZebacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$37.8
PGL Astana: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jamaica beat Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$109.21
Will Panama beat Jamaica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.6
Will Suriname beat Dominican Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.32
Will Honduras beat Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.1
Will Canada beat Honduras?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.69
Will El Salvador beat Curacao?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+43%+$17
Will Curacao beat El Salvador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.06
Will Panama beat Guadeloupe?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.17
Will Portugal beat Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.08
Will Álvaro Morata score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.7
Will Nico Williams score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$59.2
Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.05
Will Germany beat France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.02
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+219%+$55.4
Will Romania beat Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will Austria beat Romania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will England beat Andorra?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will England vs. Andorra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.25
Will Malta beat Lithuania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
Will Bosnia beat San Marino?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.18
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.27
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.91
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.71
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.17
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.3%+$312.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+185.5%+$232.87
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.41
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+205.7%+$167.27
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.13
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.44
Will iPhone 17 cost $2,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.61
Elon no longer world's richest before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.25
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.02
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.21
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+245%+$1,888.17
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.53
Claude 4 released in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-88.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.25
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be 95 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.31
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.6
Will 'Bring Her Back' gross more than $6.5m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.61
Will 'Bring Her Back' gross between $3.5-4.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-64?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.92
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.45
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $48-52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+122.6%+$117.6
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $40-44m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.96
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross less than $40m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.54
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$192.4
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
Will Williams finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.48
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$78.5
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+939%+$857.59
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$23.84
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+367.5%+$381.75
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+325.5%+$307.09
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.8
Will Williams have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$326.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185.77
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.31
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+118.8%+$364.65
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$43.35
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$261.43
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.08
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.5
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$660.21
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.35
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$395.83
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.54
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$623.16
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.38
Lynx vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+356.9%+$676.07
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.89
Liberty vs Stormbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.02
Mercury vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.66
Wings vs Sunbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$120.01
Mercury vs Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+223.2%+$253.95
Valkyries vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$122.29
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.86
Sky vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.08
Storm vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.98
Fever vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.13
Valkyries vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.23
Storm vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$247.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$547.04
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.02
Bitcoin all time high before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.69
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.86
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+675.7%+$2,002.4
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+263.5%+$35.55
Will Solana reach $210 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.49
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.02
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.96
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$308.16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+439%+$379.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+179.7%+$62.1
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$104.93
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$136.91
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.79
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$765.64
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.26
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$676.52
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$753.7
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$834.29
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.76
Gastelum vs. Pyferbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.06
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.45
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.39
Silva vs. Vanbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.84
Murzakanov vs. Ribeirobacked Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.19
Williams vs. Gustafssonbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.55
da Silva vs. Congbacked da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.87
Saragih vs. Sang Yoobacked Saragih · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.01
Salkilld vs. Ashmouzbacked Ashmouz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.21
Burns vs. Moralesbacked Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+85.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.97
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.34
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$63.88
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.93
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.43
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+1,800%+$783.23
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$736.91
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$969.3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,293.36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$554.77
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.97
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,457.2
Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.85
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+198.9%+$168.76
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.33
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+180.1%+$3,774.77
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leon Draisaitl record the most total points in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will Aleksander Barkov win the 2025 Conn Smythe award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.29
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.93
Will Leon Draisaitl score a goal in Game 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.68
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.23
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.48
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be Eastern Conference champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.7
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.17
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+148%+$67.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$238.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Espanyol?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli beat Parma Calcio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.