TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Royals, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Royals55c20,611$11,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,283.4827948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers45c13,334$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.321740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Rangers45c6,222$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Royals61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3403056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers39c5,965$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.51,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers45c5,184$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals55c3,300$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Royals55c3,076$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.1698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals55c3,013$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.232,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Rangers45c2,573$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.6611153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Royals67c2,000$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers48c1,988$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2431346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers43c1,915$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Royals52c1,909$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.227953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe6…5cf6backed Rangers57c1,810$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.011643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers45c1,528$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.8160451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Royals63c1,285$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Royals55c1,255$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5416551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers2c899.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.746631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers5c840$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers28c799.43$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.841,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Rangers52c789.43$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.323743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rangers46c781.83$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Royals68c731.05$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Rangers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Royals43c624.26$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.028530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Royals41c622.06$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.621,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers42c620$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Royals55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.457951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Royals44c542.31$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers46c499.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals55c497.64$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9438047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Royals69c441.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.181,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Rangers6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers44c385$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.425550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers6c368$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.066,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Rangers47c361.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers54c348$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Rangers46c329.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Rangers44c319.54$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers45c279$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Royals54c259.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2310550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers30c254.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rangers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers45c221.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.891,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Royals52c217.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6412552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers45c184$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.81,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Rangers47c163.66$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9219449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers18c157.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.842,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals69c154.14$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.551,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers46c139.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers21c133.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Rangers25c130.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.345641.1%23 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Royals55c129$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Rangers70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702060%12 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Royals74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2619566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers47c99.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.591,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…5866backed Rangers24c97.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rangers37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rangers46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0214146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rangers39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3338743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers43c77.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.911,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Rangers40c75.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9755152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rangers37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rangers52c62.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8142955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers35c54.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.954,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Rangers70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515080%120 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Royals55c44.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8952542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rangers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rangers48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef2…b798backed Royals32c38.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.923727%10 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rangers41c33.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6724040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2643542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Rangers55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Rangers48c28.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.459747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…e790backed Rangers71c28.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Royals56c26.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a1…1467backed Rangers47c26.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.487328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed Royals76c22.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.481181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Rangers48c22.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8937552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Rangers46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1216846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14d9…926cbacked Royals53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…8d19backed Rangers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef44…66afbacked Royals67c17.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8416472%118 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.