TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ec…4b7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
428
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT38743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 387 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$50.74
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$157
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.03
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$80.18
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$169
Angels vs. Metsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Giants vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$71.58
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.66
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$81.03
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$100.13
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.5
Tigers vs. Piratesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$80.56
Showing 25 of 387 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.98
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+218.9%+$218.92
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$168.57
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.57
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$37.84
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$35.76
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$20.03
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$102.86
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$21.1
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Sky vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$50.97
Mercury vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$35.03
Lynx vs Sparksbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$35.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Philadelphia beat CF Montreal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$102.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.