TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$810,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$838,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed St. Louis Cardinals42c251,463$104,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,748.723455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics54c116,214$62,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,43510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Athletics58c75,251$43,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,645.4550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics58c36,847$21,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,522.5577053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals63c31,038$19,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,523.791,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals43c23,256$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,255.8114943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed St. Louis Cardinals77c21,599$16,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,871.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics22c18,272$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.131,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Athletics7c17,857$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals42c16,330$6,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,487.032,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics58c15,453$9,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,003.193,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics18c14,153$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.8411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics60c13,568$8,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,112.764,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Athletics58c12,500$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,25012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed St. Louis Cardinals42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.992766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed St. Louis Cardinals57c9,563$5,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.67850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed St. Louis Cardinals59c9,440$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.686653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics35c9,098$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.092,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics27c8,565$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.291,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics43c7,652$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.491,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked St. Louis Cardinals74c7,000$5,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.436666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals74c6,730$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.0979147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked St. Louis Cardinals59c6,564$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.0715650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…86eabacked Athletics9c6,257$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.413234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics28c6,174$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.341,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed St. Louis Cardinals60c6,112$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics36c5,926$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.611,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics30c5,830$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.188,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics13c5,713$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.331,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics58c5,542$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.131,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Athletics57c5,189$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.6832251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Athletics9c5,140$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6313534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Athletics58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.1637953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked St. Louis Cardinals59c4,608$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.3644744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Athletics8c4,550$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36411547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.4529449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics57c4,322$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.871,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed St. Louis Cardinals69c3,485$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.5525066.4%166 W · 84 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics35c3,171$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals68c3,055$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.138,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Athletics35c2,869$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.777139.4%28 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Athletics57c2,732$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.435143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics57c2,606$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.1950751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics35c2,563$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.265,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals41c2,518$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.85,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics45c2,417$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.991,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Athletics22c2,237$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.21,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Athletics59c2,136$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.2475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Athletics58c2,010$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.7973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Athletics57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9914647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Athletics31c1,969$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9736440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Athletics20c1,700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked St. Louis Cardinals60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.678053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals77c1,477$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.548,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals42c1,403$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.572,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Athletics57c1,348$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.2351547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed Athletics56c1,325$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.275152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eec…df90backed St. Louis Cardinals65c1,222$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.511471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals63c1,213$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7551756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals71c1,204$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics28c1,198$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.143,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked St. Louis Cardinals43c1,159$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Athletics57c1,151$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.074252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics58c1,115$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.512,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Athletics15c1,114$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.514152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Athletics57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed St. Louis Cardinals43c1,009$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.1116248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Athletics58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals72c1,000$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.747589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Athletics58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked St. Louis Cardinals80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed St. Louis Cardinals43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed St. Louis Cardinals79c966.46$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.695273.1%38 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked St. Louis Cardinals41c956.1$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.121347.9%102 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.91,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed St. Louis Cardinals43c862.95$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.022268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Athletics59c862.07$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6238353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed St. Louis Cardinals58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0770546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics58c761.29$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.146,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Athletics58c750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43521052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Athletics26c750$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19416232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked St. Louis Cardinals53c671.25$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics35c660.76$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.582,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Athletics57c638.64$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6439850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Athletics45c600$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9517152.6%90 W · 81 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed St. Louis Cardinals77c599.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017354.9%95 W · 78 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Athletics12c598.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.843,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed St. Louis Cardinals42c580$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.417446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…ba42backed St. Louis Cardinals41c568.44$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Athletics56c546.43$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30649158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals41c544$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.961,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics18c535.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.631,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics41c524.98$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.996,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics15c516.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.416,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Athletics59c510$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.826759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.