TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6db5…e279

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT14152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$3,036.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,578.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,029Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+108%+$2,191.69
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.94
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$284.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+83%+$229.41
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,948Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3,015.21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.37
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.86
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,370.87
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,703Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$2,599.31
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.27
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,762.65
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,256.71
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,098.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$5,574.82
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.24
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$374.53
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.82
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.63
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$579.53
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Miami Heatbacked Miami Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunderbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,749Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$1,024.94
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celticsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,763.49
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliersbacked Indiana Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29%+$272.55
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.24
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Philadelphia 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$4,960.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$364,239.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+547.6%+$845,366.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25,438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$8,073.61
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$313.72
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$294,653Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$171,767.92
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75,923.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59,081.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49,583Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$18,688.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$6,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,273.41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,708.88
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117,572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$52,490.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$6,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,513.94
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,404.11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,231.37
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38,861Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+314.9%+$122,372.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,583.79
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,733.18
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.97
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Anthony Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710.39
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$95.81
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.05
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$1,608.03
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$1,737.96
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$890.27
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.23
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+892.5%+$6,375.06
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$158.25
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$1,488.98
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$5,765.8
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,594.44
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12,374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4,808.73
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ryan Gandra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$5,430.4
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$968.83
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,789Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+133%+$9,031.54
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.26
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,490.4
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.85
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$168.9
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,732.08
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jim Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+240.9%+$2,245.24
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$952.58
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$2,992.79
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79,999.02
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19,586.47
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,999.98
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,999.94
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$22,401
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$18,728.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38,888.64
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,921.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73,880.04
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72,423.06
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,570.46
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,566Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$6,831.98
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,850Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$4,202.88
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,199.23
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$17,646.57
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$2,588.74
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,267.98
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$1,493.86
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$4,769.64
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,004.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.