MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5cb04ead7e17b8c0332015360a81523173dceac47d469cd386e90bba32dce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 57c | 61,028$34,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,616.28 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 16c | 56,521$9,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,276.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed New York Mets | 55c | 30,186$16,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 44c | 29,999$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.59 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 21,552$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 19,361$11,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,128.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.05 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 14,573$8,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.15 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 29c | 13,017$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.58 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Mets | 10c | 11,691$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.92 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 10,900$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.19 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Mets | 0c | 10,046$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 9,517$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 8,769$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.81 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 8,588$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.91 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 8,458$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 7,906$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 7,319$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Mets | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 6,931$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 5,823$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 33c | 5,378$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 4,536$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.46 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 4,480$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 3,565$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.53 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,929$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,777$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…638ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,710$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,501$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.04 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,340$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.77 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,317$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.04 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,199$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.39 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 2,092$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 2,048$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,034$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.66 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 27c | 1,790$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,704$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.32 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,523$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.24 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,488$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.44 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,308$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,296$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.46 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,288$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.48 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,170$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,142$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,116$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.63 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 966.74$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 37c | 941.28$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 887.57$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.04 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 28c | 883.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 839.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 798.71$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed New York Mets | 19c | 787.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 784.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.4 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 775.51$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.82 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 645.4$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 618.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 14c | 603.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 568.45$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 566$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 525.58$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked New York Mets | 57c | 523.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed New York Mets | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 465.97$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 460.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 14c | 454.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 14c | 452.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 430.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 425.73$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 421$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked New York Mets | 31c | 411.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 403.95$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked New York Mets | 42c | 377.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 40c | 368.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 351.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked New York Mets | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 329.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 328$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 53c | 324.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.