TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6082…3323

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.8
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+265.7%+$132.84
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$290.54
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Belgium to score first vs. United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$56.04
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spain to score first vs. Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Spain: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$153.17
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$126.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.31
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.26
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,411.09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$1,263.96
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$140.91
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Izan Almazan Valiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$19.36
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cuibacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$12.13
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$66.56
Newport: James McCabe vs Jason Jungbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Newport: Momoko Kobori vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Momoko Kobori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.33
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$185.75
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.63
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Gille/Verbeekbacked Doumbia/Reboul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$122.3
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$92.36
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.