Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972dfc9abef8764f0316d8a7c366d25f494d5bde38e642ef25f771bc4bce6886

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,585 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed No	73c	37,720$27,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,187.48	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	27c	11,043$2,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,981.56	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce55…f9d9backed No	73c	4,882$3,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.14	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	38c	4,796$1,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.68	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	27c	4,764$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.56	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	33c	4,658$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.73	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	72c	4,416$3,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.39	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	53c	3,847$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809.75	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	58c	3,534$2,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.82	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffe…86b5backed Yes	32c	3,161$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	27c	3,000$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	66c	2,888$1,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.94	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	65c	1,672$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.23	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Yes	74c	1,614$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.59	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	73c	1,569$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.64	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes	27c	1,491$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bd…3dd4backed Yes	34c	1,489$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	8c	1,422$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.51	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes	26c	1,319$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.9	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No	74c	1,081$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.04	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4058…49d2backed Yes	54c	1,076$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.89	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fac…4e7dbacked Yes	28c	1,071$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes	49c	1,023$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes	26c	999.6$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.9	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Yes	27c	834$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.18	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No	55c	831.01$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.85	201	86.1%173 W · 28 L	+46.2wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Yes	62c	810.3$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes	33c	799.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	28c	753.24$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef7a…1c34backed No	74c	700$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed No	74c	675.66$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.67	153	35.3%54 W · 99 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked No	67c	673.19$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.19	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	15c	662$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.37	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes	59c	646.72$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	140	30%42 W · 98 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…ddc0backed Yes	32c	630.02$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes	32c	599.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	73c	533$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.91	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…de2cbacked Yes	20c	504.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes	7c	498.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed No	67c	493.66$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.66	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes	20c	488.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc43f…3678backed Yes	23c	471.14$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No	28c	416.59$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.59	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed No	61c	399.95$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.98	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…859dbacked No	53c	374.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.08	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	311	29.6%92 W · 219 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73f9…c1f1backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…cf4ebacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	72c	346.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.03	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	72c	341.65$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.02	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	73c	341.02$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.67	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Yes	37c	338.51$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes	27c	329.63$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f61…3b2abacked Yes	5c	320.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…563bbacked Yes	31c	318.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…f570backed Yes	36c	305.13$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Yes	47c	304.94$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	119	34.5%41 W · 78 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e64…d958backed No	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No	62c	280.27$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe369…0515backed Yes	18c	278.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes	72c	277.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c9…d0b2backed No	73c	267$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.09	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da8…bcc1backed Yes	35c	266.51$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked No	73c	257.53$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.53	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e09…0a32backed Yes	41c	251.2$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.83	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+76.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…46d6backed Yes	27c	229.63$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	53c	217.94$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.33	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b3…98acbacked Yes	28c	214.32$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.01	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed Yes	46c	213.47$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	187	50.8%95 W · 92 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcace…f2f6backed Yes	27c	203.7$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-49%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No	73c	199.98$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.99	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	72c	197.05$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes	30c	196.83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed No	67c	194.57$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.57	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…a14fbacked Yes	26c	194.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f55…9856backed Yes	21c	193.52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	223	24.2%54 W · 169 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4960…0648backed Yes	35c	185.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0efdbacked Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7c…5809backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x181c…fc82backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No	53c	172$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.84	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd828…8ab2backed Yes	60c	166.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	179	33.5%60 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked Yes	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	150	37.3%56 W · 94 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2e…cd45backed Yes	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…e080backed Yes	27c	151.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.78	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abb…828cbacked Yes	21c	145.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe03…dd35backed Yes	28c	140.61$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…0329backed Yes	36c	139.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd649…5bc2backed Yes	72c	139.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x953e…0acabacked No	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	17c	131.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event