Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0876dd058d1e7097def7050f195f125ea0a775bf873cf40ad562db76684269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…ac4cbacked Over | 34c | 266.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 240.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 25c | 225.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 25c | 220.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 203.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 66c | 196.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 78c | 170$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 77c | 150.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 75c | 139.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 77c | 133$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 78c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 78c | 117$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…c13dbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 95.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 75c | 94.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 17c | 72.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…6ceabacked Over | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…7a46backed Under | 74c | 31.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 71c | 30.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…ed21backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…078abacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Under | 77c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Under | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.