TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c16,460$8,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,583.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over69c12,302$8,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,485.92,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c11,494$7,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,930.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c8,014$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c7,053$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c6,591$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5219…a15bbacked Over32c6,514$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0594443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c6,043$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c4,595$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c4,094$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under31c4,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under30c3,429$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.18139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c3,235$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over69c3,121$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.85959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over32c3,000$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.587639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over3c2,703$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over31c2,673$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.961,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under32c2,563$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.55137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under32c2,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under31c2,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under31c2,260$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.384639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over69c2,174$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…dc43backed Under47c2,106$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.382458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under31c2,029$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over69c1,857$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2815251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c1,853$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over57c1,700$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9693855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under31c1,547$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.254746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Over69c1,269$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.322152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under31c1,235$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.1197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c1,200$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over69c1,068$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.953,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x784b…2648backed Over69c1,060$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Under31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under15c999.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.993511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Under32c999.92$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.9416841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe745…5681backed Under34c979.41$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.415538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under31c774.94$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c740.24$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over69c724.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under30c720.5$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.3577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18252522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Under31c699.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.998453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52e…b8b1backed Over52c699.23$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under37c680$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.411155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Over69c666$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.549148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe597…4e73backed Over70c642.86$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507759.7%46 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e5…a5c8backed Under15c627.02$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.97911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…e230backed Under32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c607.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1869752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under70c598.4$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.527259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Over69c552.9$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.56434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcb…4bd3backed Over45c523.64$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under46c509.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.417052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26512737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over62c477.42$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29619553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under32c470.37$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under31c453.8$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under32c437.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c7…ebd6backed Over69c432.74$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.591931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8817…2739backed Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…5d84backed Over70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over10c425$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over11c425$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904a…9193backed Over60c420$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…d146backed Over25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under31c414.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0235150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under41c409.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.328164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over19c381.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.311,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Over69c368.55$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.321938.8%85 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c367.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.282,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Under31c361.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6210234.3%35 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under31c351$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.191,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.53056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c341.59$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.751,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over7c339$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7327227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8d…8ed9backed Under31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Under32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.57211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.515440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21023429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over6c297.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Under34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.127445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c291.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.282,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over64c287.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3123544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Over54c274.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb12…70a7backed Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.165339.6%21 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over11c255$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaefa…315bbacked Over25c252.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under30c249.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.963237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under31c239.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.911,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.