TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,156,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,289,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,156,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Over55c5,520,587$3,020,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020,927.212846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c778,295$352,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425,716.5777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under45c737,513$331,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405,63274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under45c650,000$292,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357,499.933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c577,595$362,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215,416.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Under45c573,712$258,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315,541.776048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under45c465,335$211,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,662.88063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under45c300,000$135,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,999.9515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over53c292,174$155,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,611.1864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Over55c269,641$148,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,302.633844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under54c264,909$141,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,044.532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under45c255,456$115,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,452.098932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked Under47c184,205$86,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,628.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under47c179,999$83,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,199.342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c155,820$74,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,557.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed Under45c140,767$63,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,421.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Under47c135,355$63,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,738.155147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under45c119,793$53,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,852.8811642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under45c100,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,00014349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Under46c93,777$43,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,639.588246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under46c92,599$42,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,003.3417852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under47c83,478$39,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,178.2613742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under45c80,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,00013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under45c80,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c71,214$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.271,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over28c69,140$19,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,359.122123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Under47c68,000$31,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,1508521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c64,217$29,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,175.0210836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over51c61,875$31,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,574.889451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c60,328$29,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,756.851,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over54c60,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,40014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed Over55c60,000$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,999.992650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under46c57,725$26,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,171.517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c57,045$25,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,374.6342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c55,201$30,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,789.582,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c50,859$26,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,321.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over55c50,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,50017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under47c50,000$23,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,632.872860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under45c49,999$22,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,299.6726447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under46c43,478$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,478.2618740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under46c35,067$16,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,936.187851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under45c31,341$14,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,133.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over2c30,435$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.694311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under46c30,131$13,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,270.867448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Under45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5002536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under45c26,825$12,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,753.686055%33 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c26,819$12,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,481.1729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under62c26,616$16,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,035.8310251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over2c26,454$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under45c25,332$11,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,932.5211647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under45c25,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,75014553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under49c23,408$11,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,945.8123540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over51c23,000$11,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7304235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under46c22,908$10,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,370.331450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92d…ebe2backed Under46c21,798$10,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,771.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.138348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under45c21,000$9,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4508458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under47c20,866$9,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,059.233850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.985554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under48c19,600$9,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,19214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c19,112$9,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,885.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over55c18,182$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under47c18,156$8,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,622.5911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under48c18,000$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,319.9231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c16,826$10,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,955.221,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under46c16,759$7,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,078.3221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c16,549$7,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,578.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under45c16,390$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,014.447757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under45c16,280$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,95410556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under47c16,141$7,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,544.857545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under45c15,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under45c15,000$6,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,22023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Over46c14,910$6,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,858.563125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c14,000$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.971,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c13,696$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,395.656947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under45c13,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,15013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c11,838$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,397.951,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under46c11,689$5,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.068349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over55c11,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0504932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under46c10,834$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.156842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.38648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Under66c10,504$6,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.363857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6710457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over38c10,317$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.5937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under47c10,213$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,412.776930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under45c10,010$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,466.6444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5007859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under45c9,742$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.4524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c9,413$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.931,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under46c9,100$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,926.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under47c9,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,77040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.