Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb83b484265e531f2420e8b6a5f64b6b80258cf9bb45cb421cee504772ca20a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,156,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,289,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,156,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7225…659abacked Over | 55c | 5,520,587$3,020,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020,927.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 778,295$352,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425,716.57 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 737,513$331,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405,632 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 45c | 650,000$292,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357,499.9 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 577,595$362,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,416.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Under | 45c | 573,712$258,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315,541.77 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Under | 45c | 465,335$211,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,662.8 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Under | 45c | 300,000$135,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,999.95 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 53c | 292,174$155,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,611.18 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Over | 55c | 269,641$148,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,302.63 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 54c | 264,909$141,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,044.5 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Under | 45c | 255,456$115,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,452.09 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Under | 47c | 184,205$86,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,628.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 179,999$83,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,199.3 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 155,820$74,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,557.54 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Under | 45c | 140,767$63,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,421.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Under | 47c | 135,355$63,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,738.15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Under | 45c | 119,793$53,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,852.88 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Under | 46c | 93,777$43,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,639.58 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 46c | 92,599$42,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,003.34 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 47c | 83,478$39,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,178.26 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 2c | 71,214$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.27 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…1539backed Over | 28c | 69,140$19,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,359.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Under | 47c | 68,000$31,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,150 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 64,217$29,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,175.02 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 51c | 61,875$31,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,574.88 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 60,328$29,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,756.85 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 54c | 60,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,400 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Over | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 46c | 57,725$26,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,171.5 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 45c | 57,045$25,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,374.63 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 55,201$30,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,789.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 50,859$26,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,321.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Under | 47c | 50,000$23,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,632.87 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 45c | 49,999$22,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,299.67 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 46c | 43,478$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,478.26 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Under | 46c | 35,067$16,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,936.18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 45c | 31,341$14,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,133.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over | 2c | 30,435$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.69 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 46c | 30,131$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,270.86 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Under | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under | 45c | 26,825$12,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,753.68 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 26,819$12,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,481.17 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Under | 62c | 26,616$16,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,035.83 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 2c | 26,454$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.69 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 45c | 25,332$11,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,932.52 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 49c | 23,408$11,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,945.81 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Over | 51c | 23,000$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under | 46c | 22,908$10,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…ebe2backed Under | 46c | 21,798$10,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.13 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Under | 45c | 21,000$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,450 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 47c | 20,866$9,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,059.23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Under | 48c | 19,600$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,192 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 19,112$9,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Over | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Under | 47c | 18,156$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,622.59 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 18,000$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,319.92 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 65c | 16,826$10,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.22 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 16,759$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,078.32 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 16,549$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Under | 45c | 16,390$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,014.44 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 45c | 16,280$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Under | 47c | 16,141$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.85 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 45c | 15,000$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,220 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Over | 46c | 14,910$6,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,858.56 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 14,000$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 13,696$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.65 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 11,838$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.95 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…c387backed Under | 46c | 11,689$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.06 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 46c | 10,834$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.15 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Under | 66c | 10,504$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.36 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 38c | 10,317$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.59 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 47c | 10,213$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.77 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 45c | 10,010$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.64 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…619ebacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 45c | 9,742$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.45 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 9,413$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.93 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 9,100$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Over | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.