TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$816,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c128,650$69,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,739.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under33c100,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,999.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over68c92,146$62,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,490.2229740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over68c48,972$33,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,248.9125844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c45,934$10,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,825.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over51c36,863$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,80014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over67c20,297$13,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,598.998139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over27c20,000$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.993625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under32c19,455$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,229.351,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over68c19,210$13,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,062.5321333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over69c18,893$13,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,117.5840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under32c17,529$5,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,919.922,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over2c13,971$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Over68c13,865$9,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,428.239845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c13,827$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.4636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under68c11,549$7,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over2c11,364$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6219218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c11,089$6,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under33c10,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.988458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over52c9,702$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Over68c8,745$5,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,946.439247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under29c8,616$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,107.312751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under31c8,538$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,891.5677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Under32c8,453$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.132334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c8,338$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.3864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over31c8,126$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.2621722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Over68c7,888$5,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.8414860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under59c7,741$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.4837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under32c7,731$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,257.17153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over14c7,342$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under31c7,291$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.911,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over3c6,888$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over3c6,764$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1735…82c2backed Over43c6,589$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c6,535$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over70c6,416$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.621,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over46c5,935$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.2925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.998325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under32c4,548$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.517852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Under32c3,453$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.134639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c3,316$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.062,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Under33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.310927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over61c2,896$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.2828258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0422…f460backed Over69c2,855$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over2c2,475$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over68c2,337$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60021044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under31c2,286$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.0374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over1c2,214$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under64c2,147$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over68c2,137$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.22853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Over68c2,015$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3702941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under74c1,875$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3819649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under32c1,867$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.246445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under62c1,822$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over1c1,729$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4117827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over1c1,681$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0127227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…dc43backed Over33c1,636$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over17c1,597$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.991,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c1,551$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Under32c1,537$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.841520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67517751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Under32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under30c1,485$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.2870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over1c1,469$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.9921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c1,395$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Over56c1,346$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under40c1,303$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over39c1,286$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.383735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under32c1,258$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.865930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x411d…a0b1backed Over63c1,228$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.378043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under61c1,203$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9115040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61235036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over68c1,172$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over68c1,172$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80036543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over68c1,169$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c1,143$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.31,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over44c1,114$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.110537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over68c1,082$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.8927820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27a…9798backed Over38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002520%5 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Over68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over69c1,006$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69432739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over67c1,000$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Under32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under52c987.67$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.481,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…2c61backed Over59c940.68$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under32c940$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.222835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under32c909.96$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4594055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5843…db42backed Over51c853.55$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.311376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over24c832.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.