TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,457,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,567,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c196,071$44,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,775.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under6c51,359$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.853520%7 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c48,992$22,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,446.931,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under17c47,418$8,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,233.032,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over72c46,344$33,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,911.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under37c30,416$11,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,395.8436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under8c27,777$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.6631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under49c27,152$13,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,294.7113738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under7c25,037$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.5830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over80c25,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Under6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.991070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+146%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c24,870$16,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under30c24,031$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,100.0544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c21,868$13,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,171.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under39c19,782$7,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,753.3177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Over51c19,314$9,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,463.943154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Under38c16,500$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,269.991625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under10c16,283$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb962…45febacked Over74c16,000$11,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.975435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f27…6d66backed Over60c15,992$9,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,338.971190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick62cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c15,763$9,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,504.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under48c14,362$6,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,964.7343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under7c14,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0014223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under13c10,086$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.4864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under60c10,038$5,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,995.6437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed Under32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under6c9,667$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under28c9,587$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.6723540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over67c9,235$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.9921722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over50c8,939$4,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.8925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over76c6,673$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.2759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Over80c6,583$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.16241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Under2c6,200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf622…b1f0backed Under8c5,600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over48c4,861$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.4936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over50c4,828$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.122933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Under25c4,725$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.253857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c4,646$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Under16c4,423$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under10c4,373$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.835719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under7c4,200$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29460511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under7c4,130$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.667025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Under28c3,833$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.9311031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over64c3,759$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.181,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under35c3,692$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.73537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Over54c3,683$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.810043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Over39c3,615$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.72040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under7c3,430$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1178835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Over60c3,412$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c3,390$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.091,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under39c3,338$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.812,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under76c3,333$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.089742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over66c3,300$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.987364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under3c3,218$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under6c3,111$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6619825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c3,052$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.572,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over52c3,030$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.6525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under12c3,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.993369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c2,930$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over67c2,823$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0536539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under75c2,672$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00420150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under7c2,643$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c2,614$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.742,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over41c2,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over59c2,400$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98137944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under52c2,325$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.339233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c2,259$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under16c2,259$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.993713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under5c2,245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.617229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c2,152$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over54c2,100$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97224540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under17c2,060$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.171,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Over74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x053c…f999backed Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under5c1,985$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2412224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under28c1,975$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under30c1,935$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.951,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c1,932$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7341,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under8c1,887$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2545145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under10c1,800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under55c1,742$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.2125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over79c1,723$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…39dabacked Under18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under56c1,617$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90019649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under23c1,540$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507731.2%24 W · 53 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.