TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7e2…9e36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$1,113.02
Spread: England (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33%+$3,519.12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.12
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$19,610.93
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$27,468.09
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.44
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,942.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,063.31
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+101%+$4,060.2
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,712Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$16,688
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,433.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$5,493.75
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$7,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,096.13
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,682.22
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5,669.99
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,171.19
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,935.48
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$7,830
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$855.01
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$478.51
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.25
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$3,581.36
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$693
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4,019.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,708.38
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12,899.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,136.25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,693Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$5,557.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20,962Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31%+$6,490.4
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,677.69
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,909.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$20,299.73
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,852.62
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,924.97
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,026.06
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,512.54
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$109.6
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.16
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,041.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.17
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$12,220.8
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$10,212
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12,492.2
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$3,236.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,963Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,287.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10,340
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11,475
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,800
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.51
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34,138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$26,112.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,441Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,079.18
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12,768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20,832
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17,908Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22,792
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,966Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$4,293.06
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,022.43
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.66
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,789Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16,191.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,871Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$7,860.13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.22
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,293.39
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$502.58
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,033.74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,250
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,360
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8,992.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$21,631.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$5,250
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$14,700.2
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$300.62
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$15,755.63
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.02
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,758Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$12,602.38
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.