Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b89a7f3bdc647640ee0421ec84b9d443a514639276dd471a75a3ecf02fd2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 45c | 39,075$17,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,583.54 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Spirit | 55c | 35,980$19,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,191.09 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Aurora | 44c | 28,544$12,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,482.92 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed Aurora | 44c | 25,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…47febacked Aurora | 47c | 21,066$9,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,918.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 50c | 14,745$7,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372.44 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 13,216$7,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 9,008$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.47 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Team Spirit | 57c | 6,097$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 79c | 5,968$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.53 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Aurora | 41c | 5,491$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.39 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 5,000$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.59 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Aurora | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Aurora | 43c | 4,114$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Aurora | 44c | 3,850$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,804$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.8 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…cc1abacked Team Spirit | 79c | 3,133$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,100$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Aurora | 42c | 2,806$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.74 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,779$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.23 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 56c | 2,555$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.34 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,273$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.09 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,160$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.54 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Aurora | 47c | 2,135$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,777$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,700$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,666$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.96 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 27c | 1,589$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.42 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 42c | 1,524$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.34 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,379$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,326$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,266$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,242$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.39 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Aurora | 44c | 1,222$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,128$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aurora | 43c | 1,110$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.21 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 26c | 1,106$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Aurora | 41c | 1,044$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.93 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Aurora | 16c | 1,022$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Aurora | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Aurora | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 32c | 999.27$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 941.67$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.67 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Spirit | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 44c | 872.94$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 56c | 872$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.68 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Aurora | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Spirit | 56c | 846.21$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.27 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 42c | 834.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 41c | 781.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.01 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 750$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 747.76$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…aa97backed Aurora | 24c | 739.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Spirit | 78c | 735.04$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 720$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 710.19$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Aurora | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Team Spirit | 56c | 690$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Spirit | 52c | 655$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Aurora | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 626.77$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 601$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 59c | 596.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Aurora | 16c | 564.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 46c | 558.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 64c | 552.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Spirit | 78c | 549.65$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Aurora | 29c | 539.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Aurora | 45c | 537.14$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Spirit | 56c | 536$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 503.4$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 473$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 471$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Aurora | 43c | 467.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Team Spirit | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Aurora | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Aurora | 41c | 442.42$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…222ebacked Aurora | 22c | 433.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Aurora | 42c | 432.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 430$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora | 39c | 424.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 405$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 400.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Team Spirit | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…3ff9backed Team Spirit | 55c | 362.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 361$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…2a38backed Team Spirit | 75c | 358.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.