TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa60e…d332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.37
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$155.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,808.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,647.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$396
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,598.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,109.68
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.41
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+581.2%+$426.6
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+295.6%+$672.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$4,043.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$462.11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,846.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$1,738.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$361
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,850.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$1,460
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,852Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$2,648
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+73%+$675
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$5,300.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+1,739.7%+$3,786.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72%+$374.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$2,326.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+32%+$1,383
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,051.64
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32%+$2,360.19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$67.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.5%+$584.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$232
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.8
Will USA win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.35
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$70.39
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$364
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.49
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.98
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$558
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$389.99
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.73
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.46
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.08
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32%+$145.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$631.08
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.98
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.6
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.56
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$103.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.77
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,200
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.45
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,619.75
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$238.03
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,015.57
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,266.32
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.8
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.75
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$2,335.37
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,017.05
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,878.01
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$1,895.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$333.08
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$411.11
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,682.7
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.68
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+140.5%+$2,562.64
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+29%+$66.99
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$600
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+197.3%+$764.23
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$934.39
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+152.9%+$650
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$140
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$832
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.65
Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$113.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+99.9%+$1,185.84
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150.5
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$460
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+106.7%+$195.07
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,712Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$1,191.28
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+77%+$364.08
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.05
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$233.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.16
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.43
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+84%+$86.76
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+74.4%+$51.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,711.69
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,949Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+161.3%+$4,756.79
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225.24
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37.3%+$2,401.32
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176,691Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.1%+$44,292.83
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$38.24
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+102.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$887.78
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$742
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,334.33
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,610
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,885.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$496.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,347.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,171.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.