Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x837cab172f874418d324f6a39ba257f8687e2b301ccd56e9019af99800994c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 58c | 2,109$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.19 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,957$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 56c | 1,828$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.24 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,561$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.91 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 39c | 1,538$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.16 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 62c | 879.97$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 49c | 801.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 779.36$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 42c | 643.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 53c | 574.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 519.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 50c | 519$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 42c | 509$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.87 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 455.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.61 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 454.23$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 52c | 432.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes | 61c | 410.85$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 39c | 368.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 361.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 323.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…a5fdbacked No | 52c | 288.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 35c | 267.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…d97fbacked No | 48c | 258.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 250.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 29c | 246.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…b30ebacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 59c | 210.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 48c | 205.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 58c | 200.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked No | 36c | 192$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 55c | 189.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 188.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed No | 63c | 186.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 24c | 181.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 175.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 37c | 174.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 38c | 174.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 165.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 52c | 160.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 64c | 153.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 33c | 151.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…3925backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 149.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 39c | 149.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 52c | 138.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 137.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 135.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 131.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed No | 52c | 129.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 54c | 122.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 67c | 121.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 43c | 114.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 63c | 114.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed No | 24c | 112.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed No | 59c | 110.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…8d4cbacked Yes | 42c | 109.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 61c | 107.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 107.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 52c | 103.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked Yes | 60c | 99.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 50c | 97.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed No | 51c | 96.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 36c | 95.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…90cabacked Yes | 42c | 94.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 38c | 92.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…24f0backed Yes | 42c | 91.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 31c | 89.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed Yes | 42c | 87.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 41c | 84.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…81a3backed No | 49c | 80.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 59c | 78.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 34c | 76.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…b34abacked No | 46c | 73.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…b344backed No | 47c | 73.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 47c | 73.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 47c | 73.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 34c | 70.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 42c | 68.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…d6a7backed No | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…c2b1backed Yes | 71c | 63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 41c | 59.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 61c | 54.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 71c | 54.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 55c | 50.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…8d1cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.