TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x213e…5e0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
738
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT65749.8%327 W · 330 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 657 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$12.54
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$32.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.89
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.26
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+263.2%+$332.82
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+187%+$124.43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$92.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+319%+$80.02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$20.45
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$5.04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$9.46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$62.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+216.4%+$44.54
Showing 25 of 657 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.2
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+110.8%+$109.7
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.7
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$91.04
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+800.9%+$88.9
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Scorigami in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Scorigami in NFL Week 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$26.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein Presidential Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$14.54
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$85.96
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.36
Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$13.65
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.57
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump remove Sriram before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Panduleni Itula be the next President of Namibia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$53
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.9%+$8.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+583.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+1,611.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+68.9%+$56.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.