NFL · resolved market
Super Bowl LIX Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2b2dbef0efeeb942f4de41dabe268552a07426b8fc19a8b85d602f6af5653d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Chiefs, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,538,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,141,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,538,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8453…ecc3backed Eagles | 48c | 1,644,999$789,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855,399.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Chiefs | 52c | 1,213,151$625,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625,642.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…f29cbacked Chiefs | 0c | 821,510$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Chiefs | 14c | 762,299$105,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,156.03 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Chiefs | 26c | 595,329$153,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,871.2 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Eagles | 47c | 512,375$239,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,820.33 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Chiefs | 52c | 507,480$264,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264,103.04 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Eagles | 48c | 470,503$224,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,486.59 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…edeabacked Chiefs | 53c | 468,153$250,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…73a4backed Eagles | 49c | 341,686$167,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,262.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…3a0bbacked Chiefs | 52c | 287,000$149,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,239.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Chiefs | 2c | 280,541$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Eagles | 49c | 236,735$116,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,734.7 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Chiefs | 52c | 221,154$115,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Chiefs | 4c | 221,006$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.98 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Eagles | 47c | 214,431$100,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,648.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed Chiefs | 15c | 200,000$29,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,107.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chiefs | 52c | 199,999$104,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,302.76 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…cd4dbacked Chiefs | 52c | 190,480$99,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,992.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Chiefs | 5c | 188,678$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,398.94 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…3af8backed Chiefs | 52c | 182,749$95,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,477.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Eagles | 75c | 171,665$128,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,541.3 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Chiefs | 52c | 160,000$82,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,399.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…e9b9backed Chiefs | 5c | 159,567$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Eagles | 74c | 148,614$109,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,335.73 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Chiefs | 1c | 110,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Eagles | 48c | 106,453$51,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,355.49 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Chiefs | 51c | 103,879$53,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,473.07 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Chiefs | 10c | 100,487$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Eagles | 46c | 100,372$46,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,201.02 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked Chiefs | 40c | 100,132$40,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,429.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…0db4backed Chiefs | 53c | 97,072$51,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,447.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Eagles | 47c | 89,169$41,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,200.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…01e3backed Eagles | 47c | 88,042$41,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,326.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf122…ddecbacked Chiefs | 54c | 88,000$47,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,414.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chiefs | 45c | 87,827$39,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,524.47 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…2f98backed Chiefs | 52c | 82,692$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…8dcdbacked Chiefs | 12c | 81,896$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…564dbacked Eagles | 49c | 81,633$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,632.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…ce60backed Chiefs | 53c | 77,358$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Eagles | 58c | 77,093$44,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,514.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…32d9backed Chiefs | 52c | 76,002$39,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,521.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…bc0ebacked Eagles | 48c | 75,625$36,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Eagles | 48c | 74,479$35,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,729.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…46e8backed Chiefs | 52c | 66,909$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…b2edbacked Chiefs | 1c | 65,802$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…dc4ebacked Eagles | 49c | 65,306$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,306.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…abf3backed Chiefs | 53c | 62,264$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9ebdbacked Chiefs | 6c | 61,513$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6cf6backed Eagles | 49c | 61,437$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,436.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Eagles | 48c | 61,077$29,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,760.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…fb88backed Eagles | 49c | 61,071$29,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,145.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Eagles | 47c | 60,761$28,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,203.33 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Eagles | 77c | 60,551$46,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,205.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd1…56c4backed Eagles | 48c | 60,417$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,416.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…1749backed Chiefs | 53c | 60,377$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0125…20cfbacked Chiefs | 54c | 60,325$32,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,575.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…4681backed Eagles | 48c | 59,167$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,766.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Chiefs | 22c | 58,838$13,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,078.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…0406backed Chiefs | 53c | 58,491$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49b…476abacked Chiefs | 53c | 57,547$30,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…266ebacked Eagles | 48c | 57,292$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,791.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Eagles | 73c | 57,181$41,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,682.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…b605backed Eagles | 48c | 56,250$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Chiefs | 9c | 55,876$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.8 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 44cpaid | -90%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Eagles | 48c | 54,111$25,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,137.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…f0e2backed Chiefs | 22c | 53,251$11,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,969.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…8a6ebacked Eagles | 48c | 53,125$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…f090backed Chiefs | 53c | 52,695$27,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,796.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…06f3backed Chiefs | 53c | 52,123$27,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…0b95backed Chiefs | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…ff4abacked Chiefs | 53c | 49,057$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…4b24backed Eagles | 48c | 49,000$23,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…892bbacked Chiefs | 0c | 48,751$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…6238backed Chiefs | 53c | 48,700$25,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,811 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…75efbacked Chiefs | 52c | 48,269$25,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…6720backed Eagles | 48c | 48,229$23,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,079.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Chiefs | 27c | 48,012$13,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,024.04 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…f791backed Chiefs | 2c | 47,904$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Eagles | 56c | 47,884$27,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,835.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…86d8backed Eagles | 49c | 47,618$23,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,285.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 40c | 46,945$18,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,884.49 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…b1bbbacked Chiefs | 1c | 45,988$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Eagles | 72c | 44,606$32,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,552.6 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Chiefs | 2c | 42,580$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Chiefs | 52c | 42,383$22,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,103.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Chiefs | 40c | 42,000$16,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,674.74 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…5f8ebacked Eagles | 48c | 41,667$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…4ef2backed Chiefs | 53c | 41,647$22,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,072.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7a…a432backed Eagles | 48c | 41,458$19,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,558.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Chiefs | 6c | 41,140$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Chiefs | 18c | 40,941$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.67 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01e…cf94backed Chiefs | 53c | 40,566$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Eagles | 49c | 40,095$19,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,448.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Chiefs | 1c | 39,384$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Chiefs | 1c | 38,900$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Chiefs | 2c | 38,146$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Chiefs | 53c | 37,604$19,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,930.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…6bdcbacked Chiefs | 13c | 37,051$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Chiefs | 3c | 37,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.