TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cc0…f722

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
319
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2025, EST12663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,689.62
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+79.7%+$5,198.64
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,211.82
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17,340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+37.7%+$6,530.61
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+76.4%+$13,298.72
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,627.32
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19,619Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+30.2%+$5,927.66
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,641Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+42.6%+$2,830.81
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,452Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+55.9%+$4,164.34
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+61.2%+$3,196.99
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,794Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+65.2%+$5,080.1
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23,635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+31.1%+$7,349.51
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,437Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+34.6%+$5,345.8
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$9,835.93
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+51.8%+$6,848.12
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,878.35
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$3,476.9
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,836.45
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18,504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+62.9%+$11,638.73
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,944Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+68.6%+$3,389.49
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,319.54
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$241.02
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,081.75
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+29.4%+$1,865.2
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11,449.81
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST9259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,644.28
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11,756.54
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,189.76
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18,884.49
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+67.7%+$27,179.38
Will the Commanders win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$121
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$592.98
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$8,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$8,756.31
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+94.1%+$24,691.99
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.29
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,795.52
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+80.3%+$2,393.69
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+406.6%+$57,257.87
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+122.6%+$20,144.87
Will the Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65.04
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21,590.56
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+43.9%+$5,101
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,959.02
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$4,867.16
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16,973.75
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$872.17
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+34.3%+$1,874.2
Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+324.2%+$1,803.6
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3,640
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,842Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.8%+$5,394.44
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST5450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+46.1%+$37.3
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+50%+$1,693.36
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,166
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$692.23
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$467.09
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.8%+$1,657.33
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$151.61
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+59%+$147.2
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+63.8%+$677.32
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$402.18
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+100.1%+$471.1
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,695Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+46.8%+$2,667.66
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+104.3%+$1,832.26
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,223.37
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,296.51
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,237.77
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$55.82
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+77.9%+$361.56
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$269.1
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+70.3%+$365.01
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+26.7%+$731.93
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$489.68
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$346.94
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2025, EST2626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Allen vs. Hernandezbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,749.63
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Song · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+42.8%+$3,295.01
Silva vs. Baghdasaryanbacked Baghdasaryan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$882.67
Menifield vs. Walkerbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,036.97
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+46.4%+$4,902.84
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$9,820.42
Tafa vs. Teixeirabacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,039.61
Matthews vs. Pradobacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4,098.15
Jenkins vs. Santosbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+49%+$4,585.39
Nolan vs. Borshchevbacked Borshchev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,206.83
Cong vs. Brasilbacked Brasil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,522.34
Thicknesse vs. Topuriabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50.39
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$4,715.46
Pavlovich vs. Rozenstruikbacked Rozenstruik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.6
Nurmagomedov vs. Oliveirabacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,351.12
Ziam vs. Davisbacked Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$4,924.7
Naimov vs. Oflibacked Naimov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+33.4%+$206.05
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+260.9%+$13,119.71
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$6,785.41
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$5,644.74
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,022.82
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$120.1
Moicano vs. Saint Denisbacked Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.01
Jousset vs. Battlebacked Battle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$72
Gomis vs. Britobacked Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$868.6
Virginia Tech vs. Miami (FL)backed Miami (FL) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,890
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$369
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.