NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1743731bb51902ec3a75fd80593667f5e62595adac0cbe4127347aa3e0c667d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Kings, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 15c | 8,082$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.56 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Kings | 37c | 5,200$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Lightning | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 69c | 1,834$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.95 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…2361backed Kings | 43c | 1,265$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Kings | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…0c06backed Kings | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kings | 38c | 1,124$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.12 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Kings | 42c | 1,110$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 43c | 1,087$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 67c | 1,083$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Lightning | 58c | 1,070$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Lightning | 62c | 1,068$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…77e0backed Kings | 39c | 1,067$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.91 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Lightning | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings | 42c | 991.14$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…92fabacked Lightning | 57c | 912.01$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lightning | 59c | 884.52$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.01 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…dfcbbacked Lightning | 57c | 841.83$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Kings | 23c | 789.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 42c | 785.41$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.87 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…5766backed Lightning | 57c | 664$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Kings | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…2af5backed Kings | 44c | 605$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lightning | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Lightning | 60c | 559.37$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 57c | 522.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Lightning | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 42c | 401.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Kings | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Lightning | 57c | 374.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Lightning | 59c | 357.41$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kings | 29c | 350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…7b6ebacked Kings | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 42c | 293.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Kings | 44c | 276.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Lightning | 77c | 236.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f762backed Lightning | 58c | 234.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 58c | 234.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…a7c8backed Kings | 44c | 234.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…e2f5backed Kings | 44c | 234.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…30c9backed Lightning | 58c | 233.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Kings | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7a42backed Lightning | 58c | 231.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…9b92backed Kings | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…cde3backed Kings | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc68…4183backed Kings | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…8495backed Kings | 44c | 231.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…7a67backed Lightning | 58c | 231.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…8204backed Lightning | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…efdcbacked Lightning | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…dcdabacked Kings | 44c | 224.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Kings | 42c | 212.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 56c | 204.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings | 42c | 178.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Lightning | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…5dc7backed Kings | 43c | 165.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Kings | 42c | 157.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…f5bfbacked Kings | 43c | 151.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…ed01backed Lightning | 57c | 136.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Lightning | 80c | 133.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kings | 13c | 131$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Lightning | 57c | 128.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Kings | 43c | 124.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…9329backed Kings | 42c | 123.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…099cbacked Kings | 42c | 118.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Lightning | 59c | 116.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Lightning | 59c | 115.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c94…1e9dbacked Lightning | 59c | 111.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Lightning | 57c | 110.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Kings | 42c | 110.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Lightning | 59c | 109.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Kings | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kings | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Kings | 42c | 102.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…ad6ebacked Kings | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Kings | 42c | 100.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Kings | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Lightning | 59c | 98.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 41c | 97.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Kings | 41c | 93.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…dc19backed Lightning | 57c | 90.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…7c5fbacked Lightning | 60c | 90.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Lightning | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…0536backed Lightning | 59c | 88.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…6d19backed Lightning | 60c | 88.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…46d7backed Kings | 41c | 87.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Lightning | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564d…aef1backed Lightning | 60c | 84.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…60a7backed Lightning | 60c | 79.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…0d51backed Lightning | 60c | 79.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…8fb0backed Lightning | 59c | 78.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.