TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36da…aa79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$199
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$104.6
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66.55
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.08
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$108.55
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$21.1
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$102.96
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+50.4%+$93.95
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$22.71
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$66.28
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$290
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$294.8
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$180
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$299.9
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85.7
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$69.5
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Senators vs. Wildbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$73.4
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$98.42
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$81.9
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$101.72
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.7
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.6
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.5
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$94.03
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.3
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$29.02
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$23.94
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.29
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$88
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$35.89
Mariners vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$61.51
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$65.97
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$187.57
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.9
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$55.03
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$103.04
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.