NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x059750bd823d63eed06026782889260adf46ac3a8920d5d11afe13b2723a3312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Heat | 22c | 44,830$9,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.52 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 30c | 39,000$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,639.98 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 0c | 33,175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Celtics | 68c | 22,079$14,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 68c | 17,363$11,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.89 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 72c | 12,591$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.48 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 68c | 9,326$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 14c | 9,321$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 72c | 6,210$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.62 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Celtics | 55c | 5,593$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 68c | 4,552$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 72c | 4,500$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Celtics | 68c | 4,416$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.04 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…72b5backed Heat | 35c | 4,053$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Heat | 0c | 3,785$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 71c | 3,679$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.19 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 18c | 3,322$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.85 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 68c | 2,359$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.77 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 64c | 2,108$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.21 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Celtics | 68c | 2,093$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 32c | 2,030$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 71c | 1,992$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.73 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 31c | 1,894$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.14 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 34c | 1,861$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.23 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 65c | 1,840$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.96 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Celtics | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.05 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Celtics | 69c | 1,751$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.19 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…3109backed Heat | 27c | 1,657$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Celtics | 72c | 1,646$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 73c | 1,527$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 33c | 1,400$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Celtics | 72c | 1,304$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 67c | 1,265$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.23 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Celtics | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.12 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…e722backed Celtics | 68c | 1,170$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 17c | 1,110$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…5dedbacked Celtics | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 69c | 1,078$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.3 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Heat | 24c | 1,067$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 34c | 1,056$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.82 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Heat | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Heat | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Heat | 26c | 975.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 31c | 954.5$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Heat | 31c | 929.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 36c | 886.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.14 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Celtics | 65c | 879.89$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Celtics | 67c | 836.77$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 71c | 800.02$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Heat | 21c | 800$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 69c | 800$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Celtics | 69c | 780.75$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 65c | 779.2$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…eb37backed Celtics | 67c | 775.66$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 69c | 754.13$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Heat | 33c | 715$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Celtics | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Heat | 33c | 687.73$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 73c | 685$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 34c | 588.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…70a4backed Celtics | 74c | 581.76$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Celtics | 66c | 537.88$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 32c | 500.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Celtics | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Heat | 34c | 490.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9c99backed Celtics | 68c | 489.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Celtics | 64c | 468.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Heat | 43c | 460$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Celtics | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Celtics | 65c | 400.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…24e4backed Heat | 35c | 400.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Celtics | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Heat | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Celtics | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Celtics | 70c | 392.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed Heat | 28c | 388.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Heat | 29c | 387$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Celtics | 68c | 370$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…b4b5backed Heat | 37c | 341.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Celtics | 68c | 333.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Heat | 25c | 330$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Heat | 34c | 325.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Celtics | 67c | 302.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Celtics | 67c | 301.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Celtics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…12bfbacked Celtics | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Heat | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…f9a6backed Celtics | 69c | 290.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Heat | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.