TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe626…2fe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT9572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,935.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$722
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+96%+$14,606.8
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,745Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$2,255
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$3,819.93
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,750
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+50%+$3,614.33
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$599.4
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$3,324.93
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$2,165.94
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$1,526.71
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,600
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,011.77
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$317.1
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,637.24
Kings vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$3,720
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,956.26
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.1
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$146.16
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,183.37
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,501.76
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$1,183.87
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,234
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,785Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+36.6%+$2,117.48
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT4264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6,000
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$3,704.99
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,861.37
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$2,352.96
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$549.01
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$1,714.5
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$885
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,999.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$958
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+80.5%+$2,013.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+65.2%+$4,139.41
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+26.2%+$786.53
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+35.4%+$707.16
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$985.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,178.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+25%+$612.75
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,800
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+35.6%+$1,209.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,876Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$625.33
FA Cup: Aston Villa vs. Tottenham (To Advance)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+37%+$925.21
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,772.23
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,000.84
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,840
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,750
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,280
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,780
Sabres vs. Flyersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,920
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$720
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$870
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,996.8
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,619.8
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,080
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,183.44
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,994.81
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+53.5%+$1,256.8
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+34.1%+$907.17
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,935.85
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,948Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+40.7%+$1,606.94
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,953Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+29.1%+$1,439.36
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+37.8%+$892.94
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,477.61
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Kaja Juvanbacked Juvan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$582.75
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Eva Lys vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$176.86
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$975.61
Jiangxi Open: Ella Seidel vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$296
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royerbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$388
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maddison Inglis vs Yafan Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$30.8
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,544.24
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,586.05
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Miami Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$681.34
Miami Open: Menšík vs. Fritzbacked Menšík · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+259.3%+$4,815.13
Miami Open: Korda vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+25%+$197.48
Miami Open (W): Raducanu vs Pegulabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,922.58
Miami Open: Cerundolo vs Dimitrovbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,161.77
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,520
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,320
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.35
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5,247
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,597.26
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+28.8%+$663.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$666.67
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,035.71
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+64.3%+$2,249.68
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,323
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$816.9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$652
Will Aston Villa beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+52.3%+$1,046.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rajasthan Royals vs. Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,418.63
Punjab Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,500
Chennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,520
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$3,202.5
Punjab Kings vs. Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,245
Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$6,776.48
Chennai Super Kings vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$4,067.7
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,992Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$6,792.1
Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+43%+$4,575.16
Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,987.09
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,345.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.11
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,729
Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+27.8%+$834.09
Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$843.1
Will Ajax beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+29.3%+$586.96
Will Real Sociedad beat PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$754.39
Will Anderlecht beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$750
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+101%+$659.5
Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Israil Madrimovbacked Ortiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+79.9%+$535.88
Joshua Buatsi vs. Callum Smithbacked Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+167.1%+$919.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$800
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$1,200
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,561Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+106.7%+$6,998.87
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+47.6%+$1,191.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$265.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio beat AC Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.