Cricket · resolved market
Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Riders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f77a0ef9efa16d17e0df0eb8e0cd4e14f4d000fece6002ad4e236e933b45d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kolkataof Rajasthan, Kolkata
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Kolkata | 70c | 15,204$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rajasthan | 31c | 15,028$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…3c75backed Kolkata | 55c | 6,156$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rajasthan | 45c | 5,264$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rajasthan | 37c | 2,014$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Rajasthan | 1c | 1,461$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Rajasthan | 23c | 1,126$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kolkata | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Rajasthan | 2c | 815$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +241.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Rajasthan | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e2…5532backed Rajasthan | 17c | 665.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Kolkata | 54c | 652.17$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Rajasthan | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kolkata | 52c | 598.25$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kolkata | 52c | 396.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Rajasthan | 56c | 358.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kolkata | 54c | 325.73$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Rajasthan | 52c | 290$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Rajasthan | 47c | 217.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rajasthan | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Rajasthan | 29c | 176.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…4f6ebacked Kolkata | 80c | 173.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Rajasthan | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Kolkata | 73c | 155.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Rajasthan | 12c | 150.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1d…a08fbacked Kolkata | 55c | 127.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…852abacked Kolkata | 57c | 121.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…a97abacked Kolkata | 70c | 111.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Kolkata | 71c | 87.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Rajasthan | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Kolkata | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…fe6bbacked Kolkata | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Kolkata | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Kolkata | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…849ebacked Kolkata | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…b4ecbacked Kolkata | 55c | 18.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Kolkata | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.