TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a48…22e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
646
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 61 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST13167.9%89 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.25
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.24
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55.91
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.77
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.1%+$13.52
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.75
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.2
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.6%+$17.24
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.1%+$78.94
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.1%+$27.3
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.61
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.3%+$28.85
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.12
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.71
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+45%+$20.3
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$7.95
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$107.57
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$14.78
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$10.43
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.03
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2025, EDT10061%61 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.13-1.17ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.16
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$10.71
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+147%+$38.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 75-76°F on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$13.34
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.23
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 74-75°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$46.21
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 72-73°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.03
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 77°F or higher on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$7.31
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.28
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 73-74°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+120.7%+$17.18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$18.64
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 58-59°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.52
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$25.41
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 84-85°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.43
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST7762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.93
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.33
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.81
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+107.9%+$38.68
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.04
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Bolsonaro guilty?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$14.07
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$18.4
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$26.76
Yoon in jail before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$20.93
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will the Liberal Party win between 44% and 47% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.41
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+46%+$13.23
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.38
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+138.4%+$69.66
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+126.2%+$99.71
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$23.1
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$25.15
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST3964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38%+$54.28
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95 and 97?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 69?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $385-400m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$86.46
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$30.03
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.44
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$65.98
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross between $25-28m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+99%+$43.02
Will 'The Accountant 2' gross less than $25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.59
Will 'Star Wars III' gross more than $25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$36.12
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.23
Will "The Accountant 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$26.01
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.8
Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$90.8
Will 'Sinners' gross between $44m and $49m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.26
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$42.06
Will 'The Amateur' make between $13-16m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.88
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$40
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.92
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.93
Will 'King of Kings' make between $21-24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$14.7
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$69.46
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2982.8%24 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$32.21
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.2%+$34
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.5%+$43.54
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.9%+$30.12
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$5.36
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68%+$10.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.36
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$22.03
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$10.11
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+88.4%+$21.11
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$15.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+78%+$74.96
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$12.3
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$51.91
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$7.9
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.92
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$27.51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$23.94
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$43.13
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$97.47
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$80.42
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.7%+$20.89
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+91.4%+$113.79
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5.66
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.79
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.4%+$23.39
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$39.37
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.5%+$10.7
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.09
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$77.91
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$22.86
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.98
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.47
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.41
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$141.99
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$14.33
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$78.76
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.77
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$15.1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.5%+$77.36
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
March Madness: Team from the Big 12 to win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$8.22
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.58
Team from West wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.02
Will a #1 seed win the NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.23
Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$69.07
Team from East wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$51.97
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.95
Will Duke win by 6+ points against Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Team from South wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$6.5
Will Florida win by 3+ points against Auburn?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Auburn win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+93.2%+$11.85
Will Michigan State win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Tennessee win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$17.18
Will Houston win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Will Tennessee make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$6.75
Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+46%+$9.45
Will Texas Tech win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$10.22
Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.32
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$18.83
All 24 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$8.4
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.92
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.66
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.67
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$17.43
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.25
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$40.44
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$13.65
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.68
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+28%+$10.93
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$18.88
Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$10.71
Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$46.64
Will the US add between 150-200k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.45
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$9.64
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$21
All 24 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GELO drop another Billboard top 100 hit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.05
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$13.77
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+97%+$31.03
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.13
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$9.03
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$8.06
Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$7.57
Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+80.7%+$34.83
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+115.4%+$17.87
Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Azerbaijan qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$17.01
Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.67
Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.66
Will San Marino qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$13.86
Will Iceland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.99
Will Kanye West release an album before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.67
All 23 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$9.75
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.45
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Ferrari have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will Red Bull have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$6.7
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$18.02
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$25.36
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.36
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$43.37
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.15
Will Red Bull have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Mercedes have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14.7
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.16
F1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+63.3%+$55.84
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$8.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$19.72
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.21
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$6.11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$22.44
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.39
Will the Saints draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7.35
Will Shedeur Sanders be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$14.7
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+159.3%+$53.98
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Jaxson Dart be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Will another team draft Jaxson Dartbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted by the Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$8.61
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$17.06
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$26.04
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 DT, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.21
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$19.95
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Shedeur Sanders get drafted top 10 in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+56%+$20.46
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.04
Will Russell Wilson sign with the New York Giants?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.6%+$50.11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$4.2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.4%+$12.52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.5%+$10.38
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$4.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$22.35
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$47.39
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+112%+$63.95
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.39
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+42%+$68.7
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.13
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$65.95
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$25.41
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.3% and 4.4% on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$13.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$61.84
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$49.52
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$266.73
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$28.32
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times April 4 - 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$23.49
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$28.46
Will Trump post 100-119 times on Truth March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.7
Will Trump post 140-159 times on Truth March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+29%+$6.75
Will Trump post 120-139 times on Truth March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+28%+$7.3
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.3
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$143.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$8.4
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$25.98
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+118%+$40.92
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.56
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.48
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+28%+$14.82
PHI Phillies vs. WSH Nationals March 27backed Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Novak win The 2025 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+107.8%+$22.88
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$34.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight ends in Draw/Not Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.26
Will KSI win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$40.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$28.04
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.7%+$130.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.