Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d06d9c6303c11bf7388cff707e4dac836e03628630720bca3d8cbf4234713d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $529,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $317,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	82,729$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.06	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade3…c17dbacked No	71c	51,707$36,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,995.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa444…ef4dbacked Yes	29c	51,707$14,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,995.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed Yes	0c	39,450$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes	0c	14,999$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	0%0 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe140…78d4backed Yes	49c	10,130$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	0c	8,040$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	4c	6,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+29.2wins	+0.25per pick	26cpaid	+132.4%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	68c	6,044$4,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,911.71	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1958…9bd2backed Yes	26c	5,374$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.87	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No	63c	4,790$3,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.73	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes	3c	3,064$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	28c	3,007$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.31	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked No	62c	2,701$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.6	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb6…2124backed Yes	22c	2,576$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No	46c	2,462$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.04	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e2…1546backed Yes	5c	2,229$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a73…616cbacked No	55c	2,108$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes	37c	1,911$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.21	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3,440.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	25c	1,827$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.61	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes	3c	1,821$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.64	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+15.3wins	+0.21per pick	15cpaid	+188.8%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	1,664$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	30c	1,553$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.85	134	13.4%18 W · 116 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes	28c	1,506$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.41	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes	21c	1,450$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	25c	1,371$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.2	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,358$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ba…835abacked No	61c	1,082$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	29c	978.81$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.55	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed No	66c	938.01$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.72	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1008…d2efbacked Yes	31c	912.58$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	2c	908.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+63.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	2c	882.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	167	6.6%11 W · 156 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71b7…8d7dbacked Yes	31c	856.69$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.38	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No	73c	849.27$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.8	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	34c	783$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.91	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	2c	746.18$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	149	4.7%7 W · 142 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	25c	726.92$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.39	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No	75c	709.21$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.21	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	38c	709.09$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.86	380	23.9%91 W · 289 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb9…be64backed Yes	30c	660.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	531.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef8f…8660backed Yes	35c	530.83$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked No	72c	503.59$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.59	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa7…5526backed Yes	31c	476.8$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No	65c	460$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.72	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e7…624fbacked Yes	50c	403.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes	36c	391.03$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f87…f277backed Yes	51c	375.53$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.52	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ea…7346backed Yes	29c	375.01$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	22c	374$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.37	120	40%48 W · 72 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1580…9394backed No	78c	373.08$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	76c	358.93$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.73	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked No	60c	343.83$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.23	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x841a…6f91backed Yes	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+119.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…fe06backed Yes	43c	304.19$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Yes	32c	301.92$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No	66c	293.98$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.12	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes	38c	285$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5da6…eababacked Yes	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	23c	270.36$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.59	206	14.6%30 W · 176 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	7c	269.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	112	22.3%25 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee1…c9a5backed Yes	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	44cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…fd6ebacked Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x935d…08ffbacked Yes	21c	243.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.28	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf80…767ebacked No	63c	238.1$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No	52c	237.6$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.05	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…8740backed Yes	21c	236.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes	15c	231$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4495…a252backed Yes	37c	226.07$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.35	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No	61c	204.63$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.29	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b5…8b70backed No	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes	22c	193.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0c…3d66backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+86%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No	64c	175.02$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.89	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	35c	172.32$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.9	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Yes	13c	169$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	34c	166$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.35	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Yes	30c	165$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…f202backed Yes	40c	155.59$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	26c	151.52$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked No	75c	149.26$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.31	100	14%14 W · 86 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed Yes	35c	143.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b0…8b95backed Yes	24c	136.37$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x261b…b7efbacked Yes	33c	136.2$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b30…6c12backed Yes	37c	133.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b76…5d99backed Yes	48c	130.16$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.62	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2282…23c8backed Yes	35c	128.57$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbaf7…29fdbacked Yes	34c	126$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.91	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+232.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…2bd1backed Yes	42c	125$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…6192backed No	58c	119.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes	37c	116.54$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes	44c	114.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?this page
Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes won
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?No won
Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event