TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f87…f277

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.99
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.61
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,107.88
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$894.02
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$980
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$290.04
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.98
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.4%+$1,680.37
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+499.4%+$2,672.07
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+578.1%+$309.4
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800.13
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,129.61
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$157.7
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,633.51
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.52
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,347.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060.67
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+156.8%+$647.58
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,529.04
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$870
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,514.8
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$240
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$130.91
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+41%+$436.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$1,375.64
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$531.12
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$755.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,817Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.2%+$1,455.05
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,841Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+28.2%+$1,365.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+71.7%+$2,454.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+59.6%+$1,120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$462.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,883Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+28.8%+$1,117.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$767.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$1,370
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.