World Politics · resolved market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc60892139c1aeb58d6d918a6d5b6ba653843a248c00d38d3f811df95571149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cf3…076cbacked No | 24c | 90,641$21,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,887.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…fb31backed Yes | 76c | 30,818$23,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,421.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…bf4dbacked Yes | 76c | 30,664$23,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,304.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e2b2backed Yes | 76c | 28,687$21,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,802.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 3c | 12,538$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 74c | 10,515$7,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,772.69 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…08dfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No | 60c | 9,045$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…7633backed Yes | 10c | 7,403$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 70c | 7,312$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.91 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 34c | 7,238$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.89 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Yes | 62c | 5,875$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 25c | 5,611$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.51 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 74c | 5,278$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.47 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…057abacked No | 26c | 4,771$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes | 75c | 4,222$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Yes | 36c | 4,096$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…efd9backed Yes | 77c | 3,381$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…6c37backed No | 16c | 3,222$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 17c | 3,207$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.07 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 74c | 3,125$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,058$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…d32cbacked No | 64c | 2,656$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 5c | 2,621$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 40c | 2,605$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.69 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae57…45e2backed Yes | 73c | 2,600$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 79c | 2,414$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 17c | 2,220$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.52 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…662dbacked No | 33c | 1,998$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…a2a0backed Yes | 64c | 1,736$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 22c | 1,612$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…91cfbacked No | 64c | 1,542$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 67c | 1,535$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 46c | 1,442$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…76debacked Yes | 61c | 1,435$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…39ecbacked Yes | 67c | 1,406$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…adc7backed Yes | 7c | 1,394$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…d430backed Yes | 68c | 1,294$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed Yes | 68c | 1,275$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a42dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,242$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…6cdcbacked Yes | 74c | 1,212$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…b391backed No | 27c | 1,206$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 17c | 1,130$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.57 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,101$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…a15cbacked Yes | 6c | 989.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 15c | 941.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.78 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes | 79c | 939.11$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 3c | 850$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +527.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked No | 3c | 850$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +604.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 822.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…3f3bbacked No | 24c | 772.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Yes | 74c | 771.27$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 18c | 736.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +193.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…4964backed Yes | 64c | 733.11$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…6bf4backed Yes | 57c | 730.33$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 29c | 700.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.37 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 693.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 676.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 673.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.98 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…e89cbacked Yes | 31c | 645.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…f7cebacked Yes | 5c | 605.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…bc8fbacked Yes | 9c | 603.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…88c5backed No | 16c | 597.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…3935backed Yes | 76c | 567.01$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…2f3bbacked No | 44c | 554.59$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…8d8dbacked Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed No | 20c | 546.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +156%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 24c | 545.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed No | 24c | 531.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +341.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…e89fbacked Yes | 3c | 497.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…e5a3backed Yes | 76c | 472$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 34c | 444.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…30b6backed No | 29c | 425$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…510bbacked Yes | 55c | 413.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed No | 46c | 393.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…8443backed Yes | 47c | 387.89$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 53c | 383.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 23c | 361.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…4f55backed Yes | 21c | 349.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…931abacked No | 27c | 340.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 28c | 308.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…ce1dbacked Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked No | 17c | 290$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +135%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…3f30backed Yes | 17c | 277.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 17c | 276.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…423bbacked Yes | 57c | 270.21$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 269.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 73c | 269.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 7c | 267.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…cae2backed Yes | 75c | 264.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed Yes | 78c | 252.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…f7aebacked No | 20c | 250$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +347.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed No | 38c | 249.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…5ec9backed Yes | 16c | 236.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…f6c6backed Yes | 6c | 223.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 61c | 220$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 36c | 214.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked No | 17c | 212.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 150 and 164 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.