TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cd5…f2cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$35.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$215
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$562
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,270.77
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$512.79
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,482
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$497.08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$450
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$114
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$188
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$81.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$472
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$134
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$147.69
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$20.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$4,205
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$654
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$326.99
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$805
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,095
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$98
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.29
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.56
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$43.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$92.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.19
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$107.44
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$6,209.4
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,774.46
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$1,759.74
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$90.28
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,904.48
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$21,602.19
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,548.04
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,000
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.74
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,119.99
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$688.89
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,959.99
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$214.5
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,901.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$77.25
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.91
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.09
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27%+$111.77
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+65.5%+$3,580.63
All 7 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$79.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7,080
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.