NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2442fd430fecccb337e64263589d16597d1a6098a3848cba9ff3bc382a1b16f9

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Lakers, Pistons
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,975,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,975,637 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers	52c	1,200,000$624,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624,000.09	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	46c	766,000$352,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413,696.57	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	48c	592,991$284,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308,355.44	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Pistons	48c	473,349$227,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246,141.35	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers	54c	396,929$215,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215,200.14	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers	52c	274,416$143,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,100.6	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	47c	224,386$106,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,180.83	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons	48c	194,554$92,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,052.04	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Lakers	55c	153,716$84,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,337.58	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons	47c	150,000$70,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,643.05	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers	51c	149,044$76,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,012.33	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons	46c	137,046$63,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,416.95	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…e18cbacked Lakers	0c	115,020$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.02	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons	64c	112,207$72,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,886.27	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pistons	49c	102,040$49,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,040.25	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers	55c	100,008$54,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,854.76	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons	47c	100,000$47,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,951.69	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,999.9	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed Lakers	47c	92,863$44,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Lakers	30c	89,132$26,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,379.96	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Lakers	57c	87,415$50,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,099.4	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers	45c	81,456$37,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,043.05	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons	47c	79,933$37,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,244.04	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers	49c	76,353$37,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,360.95	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Pistons	44c	75,885$33,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,154.33	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers	52c	65,000$33,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,799.97	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons	46c	65,000$29,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,099.9	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers	53c	63,679$33,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,750	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Lakers	43c	62,215$26,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,658.65	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	48c	61,199$29,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,876.32	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pistons	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,000	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pistons	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,999.93	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Lakers	51c	47,483$24,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,042.96	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Lakers	53c	43,363$22,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,852.5	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers	50c	43,178$21,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,562.53	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed Lakers	43c	41,468$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Lakers	55c	41,145$22,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,657.9	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers	39c	39,086$15,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,164.9	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Lakers	56c	38,955$21,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,756.29	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Lakers	55c	38,381$21,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,152.62	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f45…a321backed Pistons	48c	36,000$17,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,720	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	57c	35,526$20,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,215.81	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	46c	34,392$15,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,657.25	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed Pistons	65c	33,071$21,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,739.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	67c	31,688$21,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,480.74	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pistons	43c	31,624$13,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,907.09	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Lakers	52c	31,422$16,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,342.96	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers	42c	30,536$12,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,777.65	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons	47c	30,362$14,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,091.71	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers	52c	30,073$15,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,638	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pistons	56c	29,997$16,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,098.63	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers	51c	28,709$14,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,715.82	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Pistons	44c	28,620$12,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,021.82	272	47.1%128 W · 144 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Lakers	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Lakers	53c	25,000$13,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,250	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons	48c	25,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,000	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Lakers	53c	24,528$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons	48c	24,332$11,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,712.12	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers	53c	22,642$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Lakers	53c	22,325$11,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,832.25	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc6…1d96backed Pistons	44c	22,230$9,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,519.01	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.6wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers	52c	20,890$10,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,779.99	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Pistons	59c	20,475$12,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,452.52	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons	46c	20,121$9,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,913.95	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pistons	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,000	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Lakers	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,400	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Pistons	79c	19,800$15,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,151.97	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Lakers	53c	19,700$10,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,441.25	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Pistons	47c	19,700$9,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,441	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Lakers	54c	19,492$10,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,465.47	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers	48c	19,486$9,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,282.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers	57c	19,343$10,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,989.28	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons	54c	19,161$10,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,867.92	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Lakers	51c	18,175$9,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,227.3	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c3…a377backed Lakers	0c	17,490$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	58c	16,259$9,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,875.09	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Lakers	22c	16,021$3,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,525.11	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers	52c	15,202$7,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,888.6	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Lakers	24c	15,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Pistons	48c	14,583$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,583.33	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lakers	31c	14,486$4,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,470.21	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons	64c	14,273$9,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,185.3	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Pistons	48c	14,249$6,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,409.61	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lakers	42c	14,202$5,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,914.21	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pistons	63c	13,445$8,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,012.34	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc3…91edbacked Lakers	55c	13,440$7,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,391.81	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Lakers	54c	13,111$7,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,080.07	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons	44c	12,800$5,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,196.23	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Lakers	54c	12,093$6,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,499.1	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Lakers	54c	11,500$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,199.93	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Lakers	53c	10,862$5,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,757	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Lakers	51c	10,688$5,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,463.29	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Lakers	29c	10,408$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.47	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Pistons	45c	10,245$4,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,628.63	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Pistons	48c	10,104$4,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,253.96	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers	42c	10,004$4,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,216.01	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200.05	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Lakers	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Lakers	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.94	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lakers vs. Pistonsthis page
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Pistons won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5No won
Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Lakers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Lakers won
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Lakers won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event