TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Lakers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a73…e1adbacked Lakers37c676.14$250 inLost-$2503627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Pistons35c571.43$200 inWon+$371.433636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9764…ebbcbacked Lakers60c336.03$202 inLost-$201.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Lakers23c273.7$63 inLost-$62.9557444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff96…027cbacked Pistons60c243.08$146 inWon+$97.231435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Lakers71c235.45$167 inLost-$166.879842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pistons77c224$172 inWon+$51.5277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons58c200$116 inWon+$841,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pistons62c197.9$123 inWon+$74.6826353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers43c161.57$70 inLost-$70.041,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pistons57c152.16$87 inWon+$65.4336248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers33c142.81$47 inLost-$47.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…408bbacked Pistons53c117.02$62 inWon+$55.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Pistons52c108.48$56 inWon+$52.076963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon+$46.157753.2%41 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc31…af0ebacked Lakers56c86.32$48 inLost-$48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc668…a28ebacked Lakers56c85.91$48 inLost-$482766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Lakers56c71.63$40 inLost-$40.1110752.3%56 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Pistons44c65.8$29 inWon+$36.8560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Lakers70c53.75$38 inLost-$37.783250%16 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x819d…8d4cbacked Lakers61c51.03$31 inLost-$311540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons56c50.33$28 inWon+$22.151,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers48c41$20 inLost-$19.682,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Lakers48c31$15 inLost-$14.888037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Lakers70c21.64$15 inLost-$15.156553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Pistons54c19.99$11 inWon+$9.1714471.5%103 W · 41 L+22.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.