TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,066 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c82,445$42,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,873.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.871,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c15,157$7,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,642.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c12,500$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,874.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over48c10,253$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.397240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under53c9,733$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.6720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c7,121$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over48c5,790$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.218151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c4,837$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…466dbacked Over52c4,584$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…d097backed Under48c4,288$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a9…9142backed Under48c4,269$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over47c4,070$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x137b…d889backed Under48c3,934$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over47c3,850$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.579629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…da9abacked Over52c3,638$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73ab…270ebacked Under48c3,536$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x444d…dd84backed Under48c3,406$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a96…a83fbacked Under49c3,246$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over43c2,974$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52c0…9ac1backed Under48c2,652$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5956…9c66backed Under48c2,538$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d4…8bf2backed Under48c2,533$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9084…5965backed Over52c2,513$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over51c2,471$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.2110448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bfc…4d60backed Over52c2,415$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c2,390$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff4…2e7fbacked Under48c2,369$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ad…c13fbacked Over52c2,366$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…ff62backed Over52c2,347$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…c094backed Over52c2,311$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe811…20babacked Over52c2,277$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b3…a1d0backed Over52c2,253$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f8…a2f7backed Over52c2,233$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over52c2,222$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.4421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…7236backed Under48c2,199$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcead…d81cbacked Over52c2,152$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3b…b99abacked Over52c2,136$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80a…f438backed Under48c2,131$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…cdafbacked Under48c2,102$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd365…4100backed Under48c2,055$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,049$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…cf45backed Over52c2,022$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a49…7919backed Under48c2,021$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…ce82backed Under48c2,020$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d6…d352backed Over52c2,015$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x877c…626dbacked Over52c1,984$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…8400backed Under48c1,933$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x910c…ed2dbacked Over52c1,932$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b9…ff87backed Under48c1,925$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe028…1c0bbacked Over53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over53c1,883$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,878$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…2038backed Over52c1,852$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,790$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3787…6b46backed Over52c1,760$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…af86backed Over52c1,756$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x438c…5c87backed Over52c1,744$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb496…62d9backed Under48c1,733$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab7e…7ca0backed Over52c1,726$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9344…3507backed Over53c1,723$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42b…0314backed Over52c1,701$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…7979backed Over52c1,655$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1096…1f08backed Over52c1,648$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dc…5957backed Over52c1,635$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4da…ca34backed Over52c1,633$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6127…334fbacked Over52c1,632$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff6…9591backed Under47c1,632$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c16…bd83backed Under48c1,601$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c5…aac0backed Under47c1,515$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5000…1b85backed Under48c1,442$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,417$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…127abacked Under48c1,409$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab5e…c0f5backed Under48c1,386$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde29…c29bbacked Over52c1,366$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…c89fbacked Over52c1,364$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…f133backed Over52c1,312$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c1,294$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fde…c56fbacked Under48c1,283$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94da…340cbacked Under47c1,275$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8e…d94bbacked Under48c1,249$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9265…caa8backed Over53c1,221$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03e…3a53backed Over53c1,211$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…f301backed Under48c1,158$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…5e04backed Under48c1,125$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc89…4041backed Under48c1,058$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.0927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.