NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe029dabe8ea69c2d15d7df9b1ad041b0d138596a9ea00d204eb3ea96e5e4b099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Lakers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 49c | 115,981$57,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,808.53 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Pistons | 47c | 110,000$51,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,300 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 51c | 39,216$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,215.67 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Pistons | 49c | 35,649$17,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,181.12 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 49c | 31,706$15,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,536.03 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 49c | 21,254$10,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,383.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 50c | 20,853$10,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,426.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 51c | 14,824$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…82d4backed Lakers | 53c | 13,862$7,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,346.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 49c | 12,943$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.09 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…52afbacked Lakers | 53c | 12,732$6,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,747.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 53c | 11,976$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Lakers | 50c | 11,410$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 10,743$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…75b8backed Pistons | 47c | 10,276$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Lakers | 50c | 9,806$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…5d1bbacked Pistons | 47c | 9,667$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…3b11backed Pistons | 47c | 8,890$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…7cf7backed Lakers | 53c | 8,890$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…874cbacked Lakers | 53c | 8,229$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…a201backed Lakers | 53c | 8,118$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…4957backed Pistons | 47c | 8,091$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…1388backed Lakers | 53c | 8,043$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…562cbacked Lakers | 53c | 7,866$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…fc3cbacked Lakers | 53c | 7,796$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…8024backed Lakers | 53c | 7,779$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…4d15backed Pistons | 47c | 7,591$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…2bdcbacked Lakers | 53c | 7,571$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Lakers | 50c | 7,520$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 51c | 7,306$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…06c4backed Lakers | 53c | 7,177$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 51c | 7,092$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…7d07backed Lakers | 53c | 6,746$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…de12backed Lakers | 53c | 6,702$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…461ebacked Lakers | 54c | 6,660$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Lakers | 53c | 6,347$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Lakers | 51c | 6,334$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…8e1ebacked Lakers | 53c | 5,976$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e2…d106backed Pistons | 47c | 5,646$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…1bbabacked Lakers | 53c | 5,457$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…64f1backed Pistons | 47c | 5,408$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…9094backed Lakers | 53c | 5,379$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…62ffbacked Pistons | 47c | 5,353$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…5703backed Pistons | 47c | 5,270$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…3436backed Lakers | 53c | 5,213$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…c534backed Lakers | 53c | 5,209$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…05eabacked Pistons | 47c | 5,094$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…9e11backed Lakers | 53c | 4,970$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…d723backed Pistons | 47c | 4,840$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Pistons | 52c | 4,745$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.36 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…ad32backed Lakers | 53c | 4,550$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…1b9cbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,509$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Lakers | 51c | 4,502$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2a75backed Pistons | 47c | 4,383$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7619…3428backed Lakers | 53c | 4,346$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a5…484abacked Lakers | 53c | 4,247$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,151$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.03 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…deebbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,144$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…715fbacked Pistons | 47c | 4,103$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070c…508bbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,081$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…23e2backed Lakers | 53c | 4,050$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…652ebacked Lakers | 53c | 4,020$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…b8cfbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,981$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 54c | 3,942$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 48c | 3,831$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…98a6backed Lakers | 53c | 3,818$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 48c | 3,713$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…5e3fbacked Pistons | 47c | 3,629$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…4169backed Pistons | 47c | 3,507$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Pistons | 52c | 3,459$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.33 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pistons | 51c | 3,442$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.55 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…a5f7backed Lakers | 53c | 3,349$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Lakers | 51c | 3,124$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.1 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,971$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.64 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…9f19backed Pistons | 47c | 2,968$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…7a8fbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,936$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…de56backed Pistons | 47c | 2,897$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…a3bbbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,775$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…ea63backed Pistons | 47c | 2,757$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4ac6backed Lakers | 53c | 2,749$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…09f8backed Pistons | 47c | 2,715$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…8cd6backed Pistons | 47c | 2,635$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…51f2backed Lakers | 53c | 2,599$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa650…09c6backed Pistons | 47c | 2,575$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…7671backed Lakers | 53c | 2,539$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1b…04abbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,525$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…c29abacked Pistons | 47c | 2,491$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 51c | 2,472$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.1 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…038bbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,458$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…aeb1backed Lakers | 53c | 2,433$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…3f4fbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,417$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…e06dbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,411$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…b1e1backed Lakers | 53c | 2,332$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,234$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.57 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Pistons | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…6ef9backed Pistons | 47c | 2,216$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Pistons won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Lakers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.