NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa580a1d22f7d25ef0e08b6f665a4be88053ba2f692c85ca16be175dfba4fb0fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Lakers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,159 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 53c | 107,324$56,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,477.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lakers | 46c | 46,426$21,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,352.01 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 49c | 31,480$15,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,566.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Pistons | 45c | 20,294$9,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,209.54 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lakers | 45c | 18,300$8,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,234.98 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Lakers | 46c | 16,940$7,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,792.29 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 53c | 9,789$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Lakers | 46c | 8,957$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.22 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Pistons | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Pistons | 55c | 6,909$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.09 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 62c | 6,520$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 49c | 6,129$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.58 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0966…03c1backed Lakers | 49c | 5,927$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.26 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Lakers | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons | 53c | 5,169$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.29 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Lakers | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…a440backed Lakers | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 42c | 5,002$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…3fe8backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Pistons | 56c | 4,731$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.54 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pistons | 49c | 4,535$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.34 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 54c | 3,750$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 44c | 3,347$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,809$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,808$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.11 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 46c | 2,621$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 62c | 2,308$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Lakers | 48c | 2,270$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.6 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lakers | 37c | 2,071$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.64 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Lakers | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…ef65backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,966$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Pistons | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 48c | 1,880$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.4 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…3574backed Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…c45fbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 49c | 1,475$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 52c | 1,431$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.35 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 23c | 1,409$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,380$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.07 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Lakers | 34c | 1,194$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons | 50c | 1,126$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 41c | 1,059$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.07 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 47c | 978.33$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Lakers | 45c | 967.88$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.55 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…7159backed Lakers | 35c | 940.07$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Lakers | 46c | 930$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lakers | 24c | 915.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 43c | 910.72$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.21 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pistons | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 48c | 860.45$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lakers | 48c | 853.47$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Lakers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 47c | 802.4$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.13 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lakers | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 52c | 777.17$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers | 49c | 760$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 45c | 705.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Lakers | 19c | 675.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 37c | 622.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…b4cfbacked Pistons | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pistons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons | 54c | 554.59$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.11 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Lakers | 46c | 547.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Pistons | 51c | 535.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…7671backed Lakers | 50c | 526$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Lakers | 48c | 521.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lakers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 48c | 486.01$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…09f8backed Lakers | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…f724backed Pistons | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Pistons | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Pistons | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Lakers | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…b77abacked Lakers | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Lakers | 47c | 410.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 44c | 406.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 45c | 395.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pistons | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Lakers | 45c | 353.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers | 46c | 335.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Pistons | 58c | 308.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…31cbbacked Pistons | 53c | 307.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons | 55c | 303$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Pistons | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Pistons | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Pistons | 54c | 295.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…a2efbacked Lakers | 51c | 295.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Lakers | 49c | 284.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Pistons | 62c | 261.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Pistons | 65c | 254.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Pistons | 54c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Pistons | 55c | 246.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…1bb3backed Lakers | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…4634backed Lakers | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Pistons won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Lakers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.