TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77fe…551d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT24450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 244 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.15
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.55
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.67
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.08
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.58
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.2
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.24
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$307.51
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.74
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$403.76
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$338.51
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.71
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$502.1
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.69
Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$1,090.22
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,721.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$448.35
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.84
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.45
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.04
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,250
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.4
Showing 25 of 244 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.22
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,169.93
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$666
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$599.4
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$548.27
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$647.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,217.29
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98%+$1,133.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.66
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.