TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over44c131,943$57,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,413.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c59,609$33,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,832.121,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over43c32,755$14,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,084.4610438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c21,558$12,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,677.14,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under57c19,779$11,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,504.8812648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c18,433$10,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,003.441,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under57c10,751$6,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5807353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under60c3,935$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.7115443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.982846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c2,218$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.442,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over30c2,202$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c2,185$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.4728055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under59c2,051$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9120054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c1,800$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under57c1,747$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.157753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under57c1,600$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under61c1,232$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c1,227$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.093,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over43c1,028$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.12147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over41c973.97$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3312821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c921$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.0320159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38731751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30117648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under76c682.06$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.031,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25211037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under57c560$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under59c547$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.527652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under57c429.37$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under57c401.81$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under57c401.7$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.734334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over44c381.55$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.89649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under57c340$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.211952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under57c340$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.29945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under57c340$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.220250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under57c340$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under57c340$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.220949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under57c339.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.194057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under57c320$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12935054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under58c280.82$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over9c255.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.768439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.219352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.218853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.210351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.219053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.29343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under57c240$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.215747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over42c239.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c223.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over17c210$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under78c208.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8619153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over42c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over16c196$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.361540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over39c188.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4934252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under57c174.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.17951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.120652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.17045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under60c167.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.517552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Over21c157.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.521051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under58c149.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.286847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.212147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.619152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.610247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.618852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.68650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.610045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under57c119.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under79c117$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5742458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over16c116$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1137039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c111.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.861,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.