La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb60995c2c3e853a2022b26db3b6e1101fe816424a4fe857b23107b267fa82351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,015$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.34 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 14c | 6,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.86 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 51c | 3,414$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 3,058$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.34 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 1,666$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.32 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 934.25$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 698.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 48c | 625.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 261.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 234.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 46c | 231.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 173.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 49c | 100.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed No | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 48c | 97.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…fd52backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 51c | 76.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 35.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5afabacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 24.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…f98dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.