TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c46,878$16,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,207.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Over69c13,946$9,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,622.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9912648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0407353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c2,284$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.22,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over68c1,250$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.7635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over69c1,232$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over43c999.82$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.922748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c908.33$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.573,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over35c863.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c859$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c797.62$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c746.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over41c728.98$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c725.55$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c675.34$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.451,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over41c658.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under32c640.56$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.639354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over13c501$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1323255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over69c499.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over42c475.82$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7215344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c472.57$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.761,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over42c471.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over68c449.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c369.46$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.481,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over68c360$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over44c358.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.535145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under32c350.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6520452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e39…ab7fbacked Over69c305.18$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over68c295.51$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over65c280$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18212821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over68c280$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under61c279$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under38c255.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under32c247.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3830749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over46c238.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.723545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over29c234.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over43c228.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.128252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over35c201.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7042158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over27c199$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7310233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c196.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x370b…5009backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over68c179.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.399649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c68…bd03backed Over35c177.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over69c173.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.611952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over68c170$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over26c161.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8317541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over68c160$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.819652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7830backed Over45c155.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under51c154.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under32c152$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10219951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over27c146.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Over69c133.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over35c125.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.610351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.69343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over30c116$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over34c115.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over19c113.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over19c109.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over28c105.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.168958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6819153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…6046backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Over37c95.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.752326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over58c89.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.