TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5652…00c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
385
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Chess, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Chess at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+742.1%+$35,250
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$801.92
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,080
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$800
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$5,359.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$1,140
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$1,220
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$830
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,209.99
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27%+$425
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$1,375
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$714.99
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$5,468.98
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,771Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$14,208.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,820
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,219.96
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,975.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$3,099.99
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,139.99
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.99
Augsburg: Henri Haupt vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Henri Haupt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.71
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Winston-Salem Open: Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.03
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,459.94
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016.14
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.14
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.99
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.52
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,129.99
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.21
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$779.95
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.78
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Droguet (+1.5)backed Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.1
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Spread: FC København (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$507.31
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.25
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to Advancebacked Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.99
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,056Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$1,454.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,319.99
Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)backed HNK Rijeka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,410.29
Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,107.07
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.99
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.84
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.37
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$2,379.98
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,309.96
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$304.99
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$560
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.19
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.39
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$2,839.97
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,199.94
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.97
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)backed Deportivo Alavés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$470.8
Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$442.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$2,619.99
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$625.04
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$579.99
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,859.93
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,199.99
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$2,689.99
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.39
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Spread: Shrewsbury Town FC (-2.5)backed Shrewsbury Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$659.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.99
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$2,220
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.39
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$1,109.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.99
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,440
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,619.99
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,919.98
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+140%+$1,749.98
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.99
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,429.98
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed PFK Levski Sofia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.99
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.99
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,239.99
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$1,539.57
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)backed FK Sutjeska Nikšić · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,359.98
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+77%+$869.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,970
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,420
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,906.16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,239.99
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.58
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$9,662.86
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.98
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,960
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,580
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,900
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.33
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$1,190
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.98
CA Lanús vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$440
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,428.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,301.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+262.1%+$4,704.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,088.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$2,736.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$1,513.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+129%+$844.99
IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+189.2%+$497.23
Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.99
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.99
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,510
Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$1,719.98
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$2,059.98
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,910
SK Brann vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.99
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.01
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$1,779.99
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,104.83
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,419.97
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Chess — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.4
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$13
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$29.54
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$878
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$328.21
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$867.49
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$430.27
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29%+$450
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick29cpaid+140.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+101.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,319.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,820Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$4,180
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+76.9%+$1,605.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.7%+$3,370
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,767.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$3,374.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$490
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,251.05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$34,526.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4,870
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.2%+$1,429.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$539.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,287.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.