TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c13,887$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,116$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.161691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d41…6acabacked Yes60c7,229$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.651225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc26…4b92backed No53c6,412$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.141526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+635.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes17c5,658$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.01150%0 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa50e…583ebacked Yes1c5,647$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c5,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Yes53c4,976$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+169.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28d…1fb7backed Yes10c3,465$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.961421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No62c3,103$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.2134354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No73c3,070$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.1152850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes22c3,069$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.281735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9eb…e3e8backed Yes1c3,064$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…f103backed Yes53c2,762$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes8c2,615$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.412934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,518$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.671,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked Yes36c1,996$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.061723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Yes11c1,807$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed Yes24c1,770$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.418451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes10c1,637$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7517330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No74c1,366$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7436055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes26c1,234$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7926…1e34backed No44c1,131$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3731…9afcbacked Yes50c997.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes6c975.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.146835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes7c960$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick29cpaid+140.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed No31c946.66$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.946434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes3c929.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.133740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No65c908$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0739952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae92…01f5backed Yes5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes18c863.57$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1113918%25 W · 114 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…fbeabacked No40c861.32$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.843551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No78c860$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4418762.6%117 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No76c845.31$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7618348.6%89 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes6c813.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9126139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked No44c749.04$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.727027.1%19 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ce…7925backed Yes7c747.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+293.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed No46c639.76$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.471145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf2…e31cbacked No48c621.48$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed No30c614.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.744940.8%20 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes49c601.01$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5610634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ab…e8f6backed Yes8c599.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.951323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+922.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes4c576.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed No55c562.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.388555.3%47 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd0…fb3dbacked Yes61c529.98$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.02850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked No70c522.98$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…511bbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9182…3368backed No39c489.68$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.184623.9%11 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No66c473.97$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8531635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de2…9e23backed Yes9c456.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c443.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4224110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c427.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5614126.2%37 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No72c418.59$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.735036%18 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9507…7b04backed Yes25c400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No74c386.66$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.320065%130 W · 70 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No80c385.37$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2513243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed No25c369.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a4…3e32backed Yes8c339.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes24c332$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.254341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d4…9002backed Yes52c330$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d6…0d47backed Yes11c325.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed No44c316.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.023369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+92%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9032…b5c3backed Yes32c316.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.982846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c02…7555backed Yes47c315.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes11c313.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.23267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes8c311.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.313225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed No24c306$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.197436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6a…20d4backed Yes8c300.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c90…17efbacked Yes10c300$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52532%8 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes50c275.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d7f…9941backed No49c268.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.071050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No72c267.91$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9418445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes5c266.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.633917.9%7 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes62c260$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes71c256.83$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes54c251.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1310844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked No26c245.8$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.946741.8%28 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked No24c231.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4115022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a8…865abacked Yes10c225$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.452626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No33c220.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7813748.2%66 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes15c220$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…a2a2backed No46c219.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bae…5d34backed No47c218.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.012653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes31c218.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8814225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No78c215.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5314445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No46c212$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4810243.1%44 W · 58 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Yes19c206.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed Yes50c206.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.072045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd4…5127backed Yes12c202.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9366…a9f6backed No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e48…9446backed Yes57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027143.5%118 W · 153 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…a10dbacked Yes52c198.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes66c190.6$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.73243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.