TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9366…a9f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.93
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.75
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$95.6
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+292.9%+$298.2
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$98.98
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$11.59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.67
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$110.6
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$53.11
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$244.86
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$136.97
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.2
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Istanbul: Maxim Mrva vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.94
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.75
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.08
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.01
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.52
Bengaluru 2: Ryuki Matsuda vs Christopher Papabacked Christopher Papa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$444
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+137.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$766.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$10.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ARETE Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed CA Boca Juniors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.