Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9c6d4030bc0b96634a279fddfdbd8316ed42d217118f9e46205ac182ae925c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 38c | 26,058$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,005.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 23,868$14,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.44 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 69c | 7,959$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.45 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 62c | 7,074$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.73 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 7,043$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 48c | 5,373$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.75 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 39c | 5,100$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked No | 37c | 5,000$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 63c | 4,618$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.9 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +19.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 69c | 4,507$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.4 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 40c | 3,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed Yes | 33c | 2,905$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 61c | 2,327$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 16c | 2,300$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 1,915$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.02 | 201 | 39.3%79 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 41c | 1,803$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.77 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 53c | 1,298$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.23 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed No | 26c | 1,171$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 38c | 975.9$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 21c | 900.78$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 39c | 837.53$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.86 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 762.13$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.57 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Yes | 52c | 708.04$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 61c | 694$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 217 | 33.2%72 W · 145 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 41c | 651.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 39c | 649.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…c7e4backed Yes | 62c | 648.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Yes | 61c | 645$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 67c | 589.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 38c | 584$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked No | 36c | 575.54$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 16c | 563.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 40c | 541.24$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 38c | 530.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 61c | 528$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 60c | 526$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 32c | 500.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 346 | 34.7%120 W · 226 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Yes | 67c | 499.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 47c | 465.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 64c | 416.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c8…430cbacked Yes | 79c | 398.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed No | 29c | 395.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 59c | 390$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 44c | 373.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 360 | 33.3%120 W · 240 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…08fdbacked Yes | 50c | 370.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 50c | 369.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 28c | 335.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 62c | 321.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 315$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 64c | 279.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 9c | 275.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 37c | 257.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 357 | 40.1%143 W · 214 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 59c | 247$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…0f06backed Yes | 27c | 241.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 61c | 236.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +10.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes | 26c | 222.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 38c | 212.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 61c | 206$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 59c | 197.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 50c | 187.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 31c | 170.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Yes | 59c | 169.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 36c | 167.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 59c | 165$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…d88dbacked Yes | 60c | 157.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 63c | 148.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Yes | 59c | 133$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 22c | 133$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 128$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 255 | 62.7%160 W · 95 L | +26.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 32c | 118.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…ef47backed Yes | 61c | 112.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 42c | 111.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 27c | 100.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…cdb9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…b051backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 92.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 190 | 10%19 W · 171 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 90.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 368 | 22%81 W · 287 L | -27.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 65c | 89.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 34c | 83.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa70…1c50backed Yes | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 43c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…8fe1backed Yes | 63c | 79.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Yes | 38c | 78.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?this page
- Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
- Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
- Will Gabriel Caceres be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
- Will Morgan Cephas be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
- Will Robin Toldens be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
- Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.