Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a3ea065baae7536ca832160dd9851a06645b7de509eedec34be15c9e18d850

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,238 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes	38c	1,930$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.95	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	78c	1,915$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.38	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	58c	1,768$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.2	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	61c	1,604$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.46	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Yes	37c	1,500$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.86	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Yes	5c	1,456$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.84	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes	38c	1,430$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.05	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	9c	1,309$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.2	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	53c	1,304$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.1	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No	72c	1,262$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.65	211	61.1%129 W · 82 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes	1c	1,156$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	17c	1,100$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.5	244	33.2%81 W · 163 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	22c	1,000$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	315	34%107 W · 208 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	24c	736.74$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.42	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes	14c	712.64$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	38c	666.63$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.18	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes	37c	596$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.52	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	66c	540$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.77	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	68c	486$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.77	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	55c	464.88$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.34	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No	63c	396$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.74	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes	53c	289$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.58	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	62c	280$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.8	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No	58c	270$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.3	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes	39c	267.74$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.74	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	55c	237.7$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.59	180	41.1%74 W · 106 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	49c	215.49$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.18	180	26.1%47 W · 133 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	42c	204.49$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.01	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked No	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+10.8wins	+0.22per pick	31cpaid	+87.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc18e…44e3backed Yes	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes	63c	190$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.7	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	56c	178$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.29	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6956…d189backed Yes	45c	170$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No	61c	160.28$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.51	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	64c	160$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23cb…0357backed Yes	38c	156.53$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.75	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No	62c	152$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.28	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+6.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xced2…1076backed Yes	49c	150$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-53%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	48c	150$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	44c	141.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.34	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa598…2ff3backed Yes	62c	140$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	58c	128$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.64	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	12c	126.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1206…1362backed No	60c	125.39$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.12	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	35c	122.87$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	40c	121.83$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	58	50%29 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…990dbacked No	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.37	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes	28c	114$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	47c	106$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.18	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb95f…d6b0backed Yes	55c	105$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae5…45e3backed Yes	36c	104.22$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14fe…cdb9backed No	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	49c	98.9$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.04	166	32.5%54 W · 112 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	75c	92.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.63	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfe…6ad4backed No	55c	90.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+37%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	39c	86.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	160	20.6%33 W · 127 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…9149backed No	53c	83$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes	31c	81.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No	65c	80$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Yes	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb328…71a3backed Yes	38c	78.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	46c	72.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	205	42%86 W · 119 L	-11.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed Yes	38c	71.52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	70c	71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.03	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5428…38ecbacked No	43c	70.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d69…7a63backed Yes	34c	58.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed No	57c	55.93$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.93	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	39c	53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde31…4f59backed Yes	45c	52.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	61c	51.43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.06	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c35…2babbacked Yes	37c	51.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	248	61.7%153 W · 95 L	+24.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a95…52e6backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	73	24.7%18 W · 55 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	67c	47.43$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	95	78.9%75 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	74cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	63c	46.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.13	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6140…08b0backed Yes	37c	45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe751…5a2abacked No	44c	43.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.32	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04d5…188fbacked No	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e1f…54aabacked Yes	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	63c	37$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	55c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+144%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2c…48e4backed No	45c	36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed No	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No	46c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	81	14.8%12 W · 69 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…8b21backed Yes	45c	33.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f70…312bbacked No	63c	31.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes	48c	31.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes	59c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dec…cefabacked Yes	38c	29.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	67c	28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.32	196	31.1%61 W · 135 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	38c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	40c	26.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?this page
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes won
Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
Will Gabriel Caceres be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
Will Morgan Cephas be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won
Will Robin Toldens be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event