TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ec4…f4a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
437
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Weather at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$39.9
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.1
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.09
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.66
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.49
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$77.6
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$228.35
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$81.6
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.6
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.66
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$15.61
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.48
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-8.6wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.34
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.65
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$9.94
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$41.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.69
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$60.26
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$451.9
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.2
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$93.8
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$41
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58%+$57.78
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$99.8
Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.86
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.8
Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$325.52
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033.49
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.19
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.7
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$81.83
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$91.2
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.83
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$71.4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.56
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$72
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.55
Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$77.4
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$27.69
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$638.5
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.64
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.8
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.39
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.19
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.4
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$180
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$94.54
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.9%+$185.3
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$151.2
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$258.62
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$282
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$160
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$263.99
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$335
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$304.93
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$317.98
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$355
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$96.6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.2
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.3
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$33.44
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$36.12
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $6.0B in Q2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.69
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.5
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.73
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+71%+$77.9
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$77.17
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$240
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$40.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+400%+$400
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$179.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$284.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$209.95
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$305
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$342
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$258
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$294
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$124.86
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$55.3
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$56.16
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$131.4
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.8
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56%+$82.6
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.6
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$37.8
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$130.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$112.4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$58.56
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.19
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.4
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.79
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$172.79
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$75.6
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.2%+$17.8
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.1%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$10.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.79
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$52.04
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.69
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.1%+$340.4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.85
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$258.71
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$546
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$27.53
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.07
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.06
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.4
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$66.3
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$14.64
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,188
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$46.38
Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$112.3
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$45.83
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+509.8%+$5,097.56
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Poland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.8%+$39.63
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.4
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.33
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+63.4%+$309.57
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.3
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$360
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.02
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.2
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.56
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.87
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$103.4
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$208.44
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$147.6
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$102.3
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$106
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$106.04
RB Salzburg vs. Real Madrid: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.6
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$187.5
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$104.32
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+170.3%+$267.75
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$199.32
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.04
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$43.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$36.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$147.99
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$191.75
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$42.12
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$102.4
Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26.08
Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100.41
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$106
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.55
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$739.98
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$666.59
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPOlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$360
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$37
Royals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$41.05
Cardinals vs. Guardiansbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$29.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+143.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$31.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$43.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.