NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713d9ccfcad054baf93fdd6a7738a2ffc3f2a9f6d55202423eba2b89cbde80b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,534,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,618,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,534,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Hawks | 52c | 184,463$96,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,983.66 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 149,522$71,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,262.41 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 51c | 119,567$61,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,253.31 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Nuggets | 45c | 106,259$48,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,248.11 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 52c | 80,424$41,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,603.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 51c | 74,050$37,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,265.68 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets | 47c | 62,759$29,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,268.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Nuggets | 52c | 55,571$28,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,678 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 49c | 52,886$25,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,854.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b2febacked Nuggets | 0c | 51,290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks | 73c | 50,635$36,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,671.41 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Nuggets | 51c | 47,030$23,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,981.4 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 66c | 43,199$28,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,872.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 57c | 40,000$22,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,280.44 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…61d2backed Nuggets | 44c | 33,821$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hawks | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Hawks | 53c | 29,873$15,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,040.4 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 31c | 29,871$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,398.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 2c | 28,915$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.01 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 52c | 28,885$15,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,756.06 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 32c | 28,486$9,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.21 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Nuggets | 16c | 28,153$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.72 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Hawks | 53c | 28,000$14,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,159.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 14c | 25,003$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.35 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Nuggets | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hawks | 55c | 25,000$13,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200.78 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…9846backed Hawks | 77c | 21,670$16,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 26c | 20,971$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nuggets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Hawks | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.97 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 52c | 19,516$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,384.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 48c | 19,164$9,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,965.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Nuggets | 2c | 18,681$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 22c | 18,504$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116.51 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…4b29backed Hawks | 77c | 18,015$13,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Hawks | 47c | 16,942$7,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954.9 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 45c | 16,312$7,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 0c | 16,184$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Hawks | 53c | 15,200$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets | 47c | 14,800$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 52c | 14,430$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.43 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks | 47c | 13,484$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,149.93 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 14c | 13,251$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…606cbacked Hawks | 48c | 12,888$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,701.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Hawks | 56c | 12,495$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.78 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 49c | 12,336$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hawks | 51c | 12,258$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.12 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hawks | 56c | 11,765$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.91 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Hawks | 55c | 11,292$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.36 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hawks | 53c | 11,129$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.12 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Nuggets | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…f8b5backed Hawks | 53c | 10,755$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nuggets | 31c | 10,453$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.76 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Hawks | 54c | 10,264$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.68 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 52c | 10,148$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.04 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 11c | 10,100$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.97 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Nuggets | 44c | 10,070$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Nuggets | 43c | 10,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 44c | 10,000$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.03 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 9,667$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 32c | 9,583$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.87 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks | 57c | 9,575$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,291$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.93 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Nuggets | 54c | 9,246$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.77 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hawks | 49c | 9,231$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.52 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Hawks | 62c | 9,182$5,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.03 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hawks | 51c | 8,631$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.85 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 28c | 7,532$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.16 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Hawks | 52c | 7,320$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hawks | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,945$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.84 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…b261backed Hawks | 48c | 6,558$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Nuggets | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 51c | 6,161$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.54 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…b747backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Hawks | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.82 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 47c | 5,777$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.81 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked Hawks | 52c | 5,767$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.85 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Hawks | 52c | 5,437$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.19 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,360$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.17 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,291$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…0044backed Nuggets | 0c | 5,125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 54c | 4,911$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,711$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.