NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5037527c2baa95540f906209f98a04b3f002db0bcd5ebfe98b0d4e0f099299be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 49c | 112,343$55,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,595.81 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 50c | 50,015$25,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,007.65 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Over | 50c | 49,398$24,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,698.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 21,851$11,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…efadbacked Under | 50c | 19,093$9,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Under | 54c | 9,275$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 51c | 8,118$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.08 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 7,794$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…c7c6backed Under | 50c | 7,005$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 51c | 6,518$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.34 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 6,001$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 49c | 4,320$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 3,776$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 59c | 3,385$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.98 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 52c | 2,170$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.15 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 50c | 2,005$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 1,978$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.9 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.04 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 1,719$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.3 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 48c | 1,682$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.79 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Under | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.77 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,502$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,383$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,383$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…600bbacked Over | 38c | 1,286$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 50c | 1,056$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.28 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 51c | 953.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.33 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 834.44$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 825.7$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 6c | 666.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 45c | 381.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 51c | 294.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 52c | 201.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…f577backed Over | 46c | 172.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 128.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 20c | 125.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 65c | 109.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Under | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 21c | 84.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 34c | 59.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 38c | 49.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3022backed Over | 44c | 47.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 39.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5this page
- Hawks vs. NuggetsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.